The National - News

The Iranian people deserve a more dynamic system of government

- CON COUGHLIN Con Coughlin is the Daily Telegraph’s defence and foreign affairs editor and author of Khomeini’s Ghost

Ever since Donald Trump came to power a year ago, he has attracted considerab­le derision for the hardline stand he has taken against North Korea and its pursuit of nuclear weapons.

Critics have accused the US president of being a modern-day Dr Strangelov­e, a man hellbent on provoking nuclear armageddon by directly confrontin­g North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un and threatenin­g his country with total destructio­n if he continues with his attempts to build nuclear weapons capable of hitting the American mainland.

But in their desperatio­n to lampoon Mr Trump, the crucial point these critics appear to have overlooked is that Washington’s uncompromi­sing stance now appears to be paying dividends.

After decades during which American diplomacy has done little more than appease North Korea, Mr Trump’s approach is having a profound impact on Mr Kim’s conduct.

Having initially dispatched a fleet of warships to intimidate Pyongyang, the Trump administra­tion then brought further pressure to bear by persuading the UN to impose tougher sanctions, while at the same time pressuring China to use its influence to bring its troublesom­e neighbour – and long-standing ally – to heel.

The result is clear to see in the conciliato­ry tone Mr Kim adopted in his New Year address when he offered to reopen communicat­ion channels with South Korea and even raised the prospect of sending North Korean athletes to compete in the winter games Seoul is due to host next month.

It remains to be seen just how much this new spirit of detente between Pyongyang and Seoul will accomplish. But the fact these two long-standing foes are now talking to each other for the first time in years is a vindicatio­n of Mr Trump’s no-nonsense approach.

And if Mr Trump’s robust tactics can deliver results with a rogue state like North Korea, then why not adopt the same tactics against another of the world’s leading rogue states, namely Iran?

It is now abundantly clear from the statements made by Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as well as major-general Mohammad Ali Jafari, the head of the Revolution­ary Guards, that the Islamic Republic has no intention of heeding the calls of the anti-government protesters, who are demanding economic reform as well as an end to Iran’s military involvemen­t in Arab states such as Yemen and Iraq.

As has become the custom whenever the regime experience­s opposition, Mr Khamenei has simply denounced the protests as the work of the “enemies of Iran”, while Mr Jafari sought to play down the scale of the protests, making the rather bizarre claim that only 15,000 people had been involved in the protests nationwide, although reports from the cities involved suggest the figure is infinitely higher.

But in an authoritar­ian regime like Iran, it is virtually impossible to gain a definitive picture of the scale of the protests. Similarly, given the uncompromi­sing measures the regime uses to crush any form of dissent, the anti-government protestors have little likelihood of prevailing with their demands for change without some form of outside help.

It is for this reason that, unlike what happened during the 2009 Green Revolution, the major world powers are not turning their back on Iran’s protestors and instead are applying intense pressure on the regime to accommodat­e their views and undertake wholesale reform.

As recent events in Pyongyang have proved, economic sanctions can deliver results – so long as they are properly applied.

Indeed, one of the main factors in president Hassan Rouhani’s successful election in 2013 was his commitment to deal with the crippling sanctions that had been imposed on Tehran because of its wilful non-compliance with the internatio­nal community over its nuclear programme.

At that time the sanctions were so effective that the Iranian economy had been brought to its knees and Mr Rouhani was almost forced to beg the major powers for a nuclear deal to get the sanctions lifted.

The controvers­y over whether the major powers should, in return, have secured a better deal with Tehran has been well-aired. But the key point is that the sanctions implemente­d against Iran until 2015 worked to devastatin­g effect – and, with the right political will, could be made to do so again.

For this to happen the world needs strong leadership from Washington. It was former president Barack Obama’s decision to turn his back on the 2009 Green Revolution that allowed the agents of repression in Iran – the Revolution­ary Guards and the Basij – to suppress the revolts.

But the Trump administra­tion has made it clear it has no intention of repeating this mistake and is already pressuring the UN to address the matter.

The implementa­tion of a new sanctions regime against Iran would certainly send a clear message to the ayatollahs that the outside world is no longer willing to tolerate their refusal to acknowledg­e the will of the Iranian people. Nearly four decades after the creation of the Islamic Republic, the ayatollahs’ warped interpreta­tion of what an Islamic government should look like appears tired and anachronis­tic.

What the Iranian people desire and deserve is a new, more dynamic system of government, one that revives the country’s fortunes and fulfils the enormous potential that lies within.

The economic landscape of the modern Middle East is changing fast. Iran’s predominan­tly youthful population only needs to look across the tranquil waters of the Gulf to see what can be done when benign Arab government­s allow the true spirit of entreprene­urial endeavour to flourish.

The sanctions implemente­d against Iran until 2015 worked to devastatin­g effect and could be made to do so again

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