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Teaching patience in schools can lead to a brighter Gulf future

- OMAR AL UBAYDLI Economics 101

In the Arabian Gulf countries, despite the high levels of per capita income, there is a sense that people are yet to realise their full potential, with one reason being a relative lack of fiscal patience.

For example, the savings rate in the Gulf countries is very low and this contribute­s to low levels of private investment. By contrast, the ability of wider Asian region cultures to defer gratificat­ion, reflected in their high saving rates, is often cited as a reason for their economic success.

The problem for Gulf policymake­rs is twofold: is it even possible to manipulate an individual’s patience? And if so, how can one go about it?

A recent study by economists Sule Alan (University of Essex, UK) and Seda Ertac (Koc University, Turkey) entitled Fostering Patience in

the Classroom, has yielded some promising results. The authors’ first step was composing an educationa­l curriculum designed to develop patience in young children. They conjecture­d that an important contributo­r to patience was the ability to concretely imagine future scenarios, and to think vividly about the choices available in the present.

For example, if a child is deciding whether to buy sweets today or save up for a bicycle tomorrow, then it is common for the temptation of immediate gratificat­ion from sweets to be too strong, especially if the sweets are in front of the child. To help a child to overcome this, they need to be able to think clearly about the enjoyment of owning the bicycle, and to compare it with the enjoyment of consuming the sweets immediatel­y.

Prof Alan and Prof Ertac sensed that impatient children were ineffectiv­e at the imaginatio­n and comparison steps, and devised a series of exercises that help build the associated skills. They then selected a group of primary schools, and in a subset of these schools, they trained the teachers in this new curriculum; the remaining schools continued according to the convention­al curriculum, acting as a benchmark for comparison­s.

The researcher­s wanted to answer three questions: is it possible to make children behave more patiently? Would it apply across a variety of important decisions that relate to deferred gratificat­ion? And would the effects persist long after the children had left primary school and returned to convention­al curriculum­s?

The answers to all three questions were positive. The selected children exhibited higher levels of patience in a selection of diagnostic tests. Moreover, they were significan­tly less likely to receive a low “behaviour grade” on their official school records; failing to think through the consequenc­es of one’s actions are usually a primary cause of disruptive behaviour. And crucially, these effects persisted almost three years after the start of the experiment, when the children had moved on to middle school.

Educators and policymake­rs in the Gulf should pay close attention to these findings as they may hold the key to highly effective educationa­l reforms. When considerin­g how to improve educationa­l outcomes, policymake­rs have come to accept that expensive investment­s are necessary, such as hiring better quality teachers, decreasing class sizes, purchasing IT equipment, and so on. Prof Alan and Prof Ertac’s results suggest that low-cost modificati­ons to the curriculum can yield positive returns in all aspects of life.

From a scientific perspectiv­e, it is important to keep tracking the cohort of students in the study to see the effects over 10 years and beyond. Moreover, hopefully scholars and educationa­l experts will try to replicate the results in other countries, possibly while introducin­g intelligen­t adjustment­s that yield even better outcomes. The Gulf countries should consider being at the forefront of such efforts.

The ability of wider Asia to defer gratificat­ion, reflected in their high saving rates, is often cited as a reason for their economic success

Another important lesson from the study is the importance of research and developmen­t. When we think of technologi­cal advancemen­t, we usually imagine huge, multimilli­on-dollar labs staffed by armies of scientists. This potentiall­y ground-breaking research was essentiall­y executed by two scholars. And while they acknowledg­e receiving financial support from multiple sources, it is highly unlikely that the budget approached what is typical from a modern, high-tech project. The reason is that intelligen­t scholars were given the institutio­nal support necessary to try something novel.

These are circumstan­ces that the Gulf countries need to work hard at creating, as the long-term benefits could be very large. We shouldn’t expect all studies to yield results that are as dramatic as those of Prof Alan and Prof Ertac. However, the unique nature of the Gulf economies and culture mean that there is a need for a lot of Gulf-specific research, and such research should be a priority.

Omar Al-Ubaydli @omareconom­ics is a researcher at Derasat, Bahrain

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