The National - News

Early investors in the space race can reap rewards at the final frontier

- CHADDY KIRBAJ Comment Chaddy Kirbaj is vice director at Swissquote Bank Dubai representa­tive office

Aside from being eccentric, high-profile billionair­es Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos and Richard Branson all have one thing in common: they have invested heavily in the space technology industry, positionin­g themselves at the forefront of a new frontier in privately funded space exploratio­n.

However, investment in hightech space exploratio­n is not simply about sending high-networth people into Earth’s orbit or even astronauts to Mars.

When we talk about the space economy, this refers to a broad range of products and services – from aerospace design, such as the developmen­t of reusable rockets, to the production of high-tech materials and systems.

It can include manufactur­ing satellites for navigation or telecoms services, research and developmen­t and scientific experiment­ation. This can encompass soft services such as sanitisati­on and catering, which present their own challenges in the zero-gravity environmen­t of space.

Private investment in space infrastruc­ture companies continues to increase, with $8.9 billion invested in 2020, while Nasa’s budget was $22bn last year, rising 22 per cent since the beginning of the decade.

Despite this, the commercial space industry is in its infancy, with most technology still in its R&D phase. It means that this investment is considered long term and high risk.

However, competitio­n between the US and China in the fields of 5G infrastruc­ture, robotics, artificial intelligen­ce and space technology will create many opportunit­ies for growth, supported by increasing investment from the private sector.

It is not only Mr Musk’s SpaceX that will dominate the industry – other big operators such as Mr Bezos’s Blue Origin are also muscling in on the game.

We do not expect major gains in the short term for this industry but over the long term, there could be some impressive rewards.

Globally, the space economy is estimated to be worth $2.7 trillion in 30 years while the size of the commercial space industry is expected to triple by 2040, according to Bank of America.

In the UAE alone, private investment in the Emirates’ space projects has exceeded Dh22bn over the past few years. The UAE space industry created more than 1,500 job opportunit­ies while the number of space-related businesses in the country reached 57 in 2019.

The UAE government is heavily committed to the space industry, with its National Space Strategy 2030 looking to establish the country as a global leader in the sector as evidenced by recent projects such as the Hope Probe mission to Mars and Khalifa Sat, the Earth observatio­n satellite.

Looking to establish its own foothold in the industry, Saudi Arabia plans to give its space programme a $2bn boost by 2030 as it aims to diversify its economy and revenue. The kingdom already has a 37 per cent stake in the Arab Satellite Communicat­ion Organisati­on, better known as Arabsat, which was establishe­d in 1976.

According to the Saudi Space Commission, the current return on space-related investment is 1.81 Saudi riyals ($0.48) for every riyal.

Despite this, investing in space is a risky business as the bullish trends could change and high-cost projects may be halted owing to unexpected expenses or lower-than-expected revenue. The industry continues to be closely tied to government budgets and their priorities can often change.

At the same time, digital technology and innovation are enabling reduced costs, faster production and increasing diversific­ation. Digital transforma­tion is accelerati­ng at a rate far higher than anyone expected.

The way the global economy has transforme­d so far proves that early investors in advanced technology are often those who reap the biggest rewards further down the line.

Digital technology and innovation are enabling reduced costs and faster production

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