Bath Chronicle

Bath bucks trend in life expectancy

- Claire Miller claire.miller@reachplc.com

Life expectancy has risen in Bath and North East Somerset, despite the pandemic causing stalling and falling levels across much of the UK.

For men in the area, life expectancy at birth was 80.9 years in 2018 to 2020, up from 80.6 years in 2015 to 2017 - a rise of 17.2 weeks.

For women, it rose by 23.4 weeks, taking life expectancy at birth from 84.5 years in 2015 to 2017 to 84.9 years in 2018 to 2020.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures are the first to include higher death rates.

Life expectancy at birth in the UK in 2018 to 2020 was 79.0 years for men and 82.9 years for women.

Compared to 2015 to 2017, that was seven weeks less for men, and almost no change for women (a slight increase of 0.5 weeks).

Pamela Cobb, of the Centre for Ageing and Demography at the ONS, said the coronaviru­s pandemic had led to a greater number of deaths than normal in 2020, leading to virtually no improvemen­t in life expectancy for women and life expectancy for men falling back to levels reported for 2012 to 2014.

She said: “Life expectancy has increased in the UK over the last 40 years, albeit at a slower pace in the last decade.

“This is the first time we’ve seen a decline when comparing nonoverlap­ping time periods since the

series began in the early 1980s.

“These estimates rely on the assumption that current levels of mortality, which are unusually high, will continue for the rest of someone’s life. Once the coronaviru­s pandemic has ended and its consequenc­es for future mortality are known, it is possible that life expectancy will return to an improving trend in the future.”

Life expectancy for those aged 65 years was another 18.5 years for men and 21.0 years for women.

These estimates are very similar to those for 2015 to 2017, with a slight decline of a week for men and a rise of 3.1 weeks for women.

Male life expectancy between 2018 and 2020 was highest in the South East (80.6 years) and lowest in Scotland (76.8 years), with a similar pattern for women, with the highest levels in London (84.3 years) and lowest in Scotland (81.0 years).

The impact of reduced life expectancy - like the impact of the pandemic - varied across the country.

There were significan­t reductions in male life expectancy at birth in England (7.8 weeks) and Scotland (11.0 weeks) in 2018 to 2020 compared with 2015 to 2017

The South West saw a significan­t increase in life expectancy for women (17.7 weeks) and an increase in male life expectancy (5.7 weeks).

The continued improvemen­t in life expectancy observed in the South West coincides with lower excess deaths and lower mortality involving Covid-19,compared with other regions of England.

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