Birmingham Post

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AS THE festive period stretches club resources to the limit, Blues travel to Barnsley on New Year’s Eve before hosting Brentford two days later. There’s little time for a seasonal breather.

However, while Oakwell could hardly be described as a fortress this term, it comes as no surprise to see Barnsley installed as Betfred’s 11/8 favourites; Blues start as 888sport’s 11/5 underdogs. At St Andrew’s last month, Barnsley secured a 3-0 victory over Saturday’s opponents, but such results are increasing­ly the exception rather than the rule.

Just prior to Christmas, the match stats team at bettingexp­ert.com published some fascinatin­g (and useful) details regarding the frequency of match results. In the Championsh­ip, the most frequent score this season is a 2-1 home win; the next two most frequent are 1-1 and 1-0. In other words, there’s a one-inthree probabilit­y of one of these results occurring, which is why some savvy punters back all three whenever the shortest-priced outcome is at 6/1 or longer. Prior to Saturday’s duel, Marathonbe­t chalk 13/2 against it finishing 1-1.

Villa bucked the statistica­l trend when beating Cardiff 3-1 at Villa Park in late November and they head to Wales as Matchbook’s 17/10 shots to complete a league double over the struggling Bluebirds on Monday. Unibet post 15/2 against a 1-0 away win, while the draw is offered at 12/5 by 10bet. Elsewhere, Paddy Power quote Villa at 10/3 to win without conceding again, 188bet offer 10/3 about them enjoying a one goal victory and Skybet rate them at 6/5 to open the scoring.

Wolves, too, went against the statistica­l grain when they defeated QPR at Loftus Road earlier this month and they’re even money (William Hill) to score back-to-back victories over the London club on Saturday.

In the top flight, 1-1 results are, by some distance, the most frequently-recorded scoreline and backers may feel that West Brom would take that when they travel to Southampto­n.

The Saints are Betway’s 4/6 favourites, whereas Albion kick off priced as Ladbrokes’ massive 11/2 underdogs. The price looks a little overdone, especially if the Baggies score the first goal (9/4, 888sport). Two of the pair’s last eight meetings ended goalless – the likelihood of another 0-0 is rated a 9/1 shot by 188bet.

Matchbook post 12/1 against Albion winning 1-0, while Unibet’s 13/10 for the Baggies to win when handed a goal starting advantage will appeal to those anticipati­ng another goalless outcome.

Odds courtesy of customisab­le odds comparison site www. smartbets.com – make sure you’re getting the best free tips online at www.bettingexp­ert.com

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