‘Urgent action is needed on emissions’
THE world must “urgently and dramatically” step up its efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions if it is to have any chance of limiting dangerous climate change, according to a new report.
Released in London a day before the Paris Agreement comes into force, the report by the United Nations Environment Programme (Unep) found that 2030 emissions are set to exceed by more than a quarter the levels needed to keep global warming below 2°C.
Without swift reductions in emissions, the world is on track for a temperature rise of 2.9°C to 3.4°C this century, even if the pledges agreed in Paris last year are fully implemented, it warned.
The Paris Agreement committed signatories – including the UK – to holding the increase in global average temperatures well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C, which it said would “significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change”.
But the Unep report finds that, on current trends, emissions are set to reach the equivalent of 54-56 gigatonnes (billion tonnes) of carbon dioxide by the end of the next decade – well above the 42 gigatonne maximum if warming is to be kept below 2°C.
The demand for urgent action is reinforced by the fact that 2015 was the hottest year on record and the first six months of 2016 were each the warmest recorded, it said.
The report found members of the G20 group of industrialised nations, including Britain, were collectively “on a likely track” to meet greenhouse gas reduction pledges made in Cancun, Mexico, in 2010. But it warned that the Cancun promises “do not deliver the necessary early emission reductions” to avoid breaching the 2°C threshold.
Unep identified a range of actions which could deliver large reductions in emissions by 2030. Investment in energy efficiency measures totalling between $20 and $100 (£16-£82) per tonne of carbon dioxide could deliver global reductions of 5.9 gigatonnes for buildings, 4.1 gigatonnes for industry and 2.1 gigatonnes for transport.