Daily Express

Four more years of heatwaves on way

- By Stephen Beech

THE sweltering weather which has hit Britain is just a taste of things to come with the next four years forecast to be “abnormally hot” worldwide.

A new weather forecastin­g system has predicted that 2018 to 2022 will be much hotter than expected thanks to a quirk of climate change which has seen global warming slow down recently.

Research leader Dr Florian Sevellec, an associate professor in Ocean Physics at Southampto­n University said: “Warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions is not linear – it appears to have lapsed in the early 21st century, a phenomenon known as a global warming hiatus.

“A new method for predicting mean temperatur­es, however, suggests the next few years will likely be hotter than expected.”

Sea surface temperatur­es around the world could also be very high leading to an increase in tropical storm activity, researcher­s say. The system, developed by the Southampto­n team with colleagues in France and the Netherland­s, uses an algorithm rather than traditiona­l simulation techniques.

It involves gathering informatio­n from previous changes in climate simulation­s to deduce future possibilit­ies.

“Once the algorithm is ‘learned’ prediction­s are obtained in a few hundredths of a second on a laptop,” Dr Sevellec told the journal Nature Communicat­ions.

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