Pro-EU camp in 11-point poll lead

But voters reject PM’s claim Brexit may spark war

WITH barely a month to go, the campaign to keep Britain in the EU holds an 11 point lead – but voters have rejected David Cameron’s claim that Europe could slide into war if we leave.

in a Daily Mail poll, 52 per cent said they would vote for Remain, compared with 41 per cent who back Leave.

the gap has narrowed by four points in the past month, with 7 per cent still saying they don’t know.

however the public have emphatically dismissed the Prime Minister’s argument that, if the UK quits the EU, the continent will be at greater risk of war and genocide. Nine in ten said it would either make no difference to the prospects of conflict on the continent, or make a war less likely.

But many are concerned that as more countries join the EU, it will become less secure. the fact so few voters were prepared to trust Mr Cameron will be a blow to No 10, despite its lead ahead of the June 23 vote.

the survey, carried out by ComRes for the Mail and ITV News, also reveals huge public concern about treasury forecasts that – if Britain remains in the EU – there will be 3million more migrants living in the UK by 2030. Sixty-two per cent said this was ‘too high’. An overwhelming 69 per cent said it would increase pressure on the NHS and public services.

the poll also shows there has been a significant rise in the importance of the economy on the debate. the proportion of Britons saying the economy is one of the three most important factors influencing their vote has risen from 38 per cent in February to 55 per cent. it is now in first place, just ahead of immigration on 51 per cent – rising to 75 per cent among Leave voters.