Daily Mail

China was only major economy to see growth in 2020

- By Hugo Duncan

CHINA looks set to be the only major econ- omy in the world to have grown last year as other countries suffered devastatin­g Covid-related recessions.

The Communist state – the birth-place of the global coronaviru­s pandemic – said output rose by 2.3pc in 2020 as it bounced back quickly from a slump early in the year.

That was still the weakest rate of growth for more than 40 years after Beijing imposed an extensive lockdown following the initial outbreak.

But other economies – including the UK, US, Europe, Japan, Brazil and South Africa – have fared far worse since the virus spread from China to the rest of the world. National output is expected to have dropped by around 10pc in the UK, France and Italy last year while the German economy shrank by 5pc.

China is forecast to continue to power ahead of its peers this year, with GDP set to expand at the fastest pace in a decade at 8.4pc, according to a Reuters poll.

The world’s second-largest economy has surprised many with the speed of its recovery from the coronaviru­s jolt, especially as policy-makers have also had to navigate tense US-China relations on trade and other fronts.

Beijing’s strict virus curbs enabled it to largely contain the Covid-19 outbreak much quicker than most countries, while government-led policy stimulus and local manufactur­ers stepping up production to supply goods to many countries crippled by the pandemic have also helped fire up momentum.

In early 2020, activity contracted by 6.8pc in the first quarter as the ruling Communist Party took the then unpreceden­ted step of shutting down its economy to fight the virus.

The following quarter, China became the first major country to grow again with a 3.2pc expansion after the party declared victory over the virus in March and allowed factories, shops and offices to reopen. Output then rose by 4.9pc in the third quarter and 6.5pc in the final three months of 2020.

‘The higher-than-expected GDP number indicates that growth has stepped into the expansiona­ry zone, although some sectors remain in recovery,’ said Xing Zhaopeng, economist at ANZ in Shanghai.

But 2020 was China’s weakest growth in decades and below the previous recent low of 3.9pc in 1990 following the crackdown on a pro-democracy movement, though it was well ahead of the United States and other major economies.

The Internatio­nal Monetary Fund and private sector forecaster­s expect economic growth to rise further this year to above 8pc.

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