WILL TO MAKE NO MSTAKE

CHELTENHAM is a place where the race trends are always evolving and, therefore, there are only two stats worth looking at in today’s National Hunt Challenge Cup (4.50).

Run within the previous 45 days. Aged eight or younger. On today’s heavy ground, today’s winner needs to stay further than four miles.

Others are ignored on the basis of the trainers being out of form.

That leaves us with just Keeper Hill, trained by Warren Greatrex, and Anthony Honeyball’s MS PARFOIS (right).

Keeper Hill has only had the four chase runs but the fact he fell at Musselburgh last time tempers enthusiasm.

Ms Parfois will be ridden by top amateur Will Biddick, which is a massive plus as the best rider often wins this marathon contest.

It took RSA Chasebound Black Corton to end Ms Parfois three-race winning run and the seven-year-old’s toughness must give her every chance today.

Have 2pts win at 7-1 where you can get it.

With several bookies offering concessions on the Supreme (1.30), it pays to have a play especially as Getabird looks a shaky favourite.

Kalashnikov is a strong fancy following his Betfair Hurdle victory but winners of that race have a poor record in this.

Therefore have 2pts win at 10-1 with Hills on his Sandown conqueror SUMMERVILLE BOY.