What next?

TODAY MPs have their meaningful vote on the PM’s deal from 7-9pm, plus amendments chosen today – many of which could change the course of Brexit.

THERESA MAY’S PLAN B Straight after the result the PM is expected to make a statement setting out what she plans to do next, possibly asking MPs to vote on the deal again next week.

She is hoping for extra concessions from the EU, which is waiting to see how badly tonight goes first. SLIGHTLY AMENDED DEAL Downing St could back an amendment from Tory MP Hugo Swires to let MPs decide whether or not to implement the Northern Ireland backstop (the plan to keep NI in the customs union if no EU-UK trade deal happens). It could gain May more votes but may not be enforceable.

MPS TAKE CONTROL A senior panel of MPs, the liaison committee, could draft its own deal and put that to the vote. Tory Remainer Nick Boles may table this as an amendment, denying it is a “coup”. Chair Sarah Wollaston has not been consulted.

CORBYN’S PLAN Labour’s front bench amendment aims to sink the plan, and they promise to “pursue every option” to avoid it or a no-deal Brexit. This could mean calling a no-confidence vote, possibly tonight. It could force a general election but looks unlikely to succeed.

NO TO NO-DEAL Labour MP Hilary Benn’s amendment would reject both the PM’s plan and crashing out without a deal. Cross-party second referendum fans back this. The effects of its success are hard to predict. BREXIT DELAYED An SNP and Plaid Cymru amendment would pause article. All EU states need to agree to pause the process.

SECOND REFERENDUM The Lib Dems have called on the Government to prepare for a “People’s Vote”. But the official People’s Vote campaign called the move “clearly unhelpful” as it would come too soon to have any realistic hope of success. The amendment does not have crossparty support which suggests it may not be picked by the Speaker.