Daily Record

US experts: Glasgow is at risk of becoming next disease hub

- BY ALISTAIR GRANT

GLASGOW is one of the cities most at risk of becoming the next “coronaviru­s hub” like Milan and Tehran, a study by US experts said.

A dramatic map showed coronaviru­s spikes in Milan, Tehran and Seattle occurred in cities with a very similar climate to Scotland’s in coming weeks.

Scotland’s largest city was named along with London and Manchester in a shortlist of places most at risk of becoming the next coronaviru­s hubs.

It was detailed in a report by experts from universiti­es including the University of Maryland School of Medicine. The number of coronaviru­s cases is low in warm tropical countries close to China and in the southern hemisphere, where it has been summer.

The study said: “Coronaviru­s has establishe­d significan­t community spread in cities only along a narrow east-west distributi­on along the 30-50 degrees north corridor.

“There is a striking similarity in average temperatur­e (5-11C) and relative humidity (47-79 per cent).

“In the coming weeks, community spread could be predicted to affect areas including the British Isles.

“There has been a lack of significan­t community establishm­ent in expected locations based on population proximity and interactio­n through travel.

“Modelling predicted South-East Asia would follow China in the epidemic.

“Covid-19 failed to spread significan­tly to countries immediatel­y south of China.

“The number of patients and reported deaths in south-east Asia is much less compared to temperate regions.”

 ??  ?? Map indicates where current coronaviru­s spikes are and where they might occur next
HIGH ALERT A pharmacist with mask serves a customer in Milan SEATTLE GLASGOW MILAN TEHRAN JAPAN SOUTH KOREA WUHAN
Map indicates where current coronaviru­s spikes are and where they might occur next HIGH ALERT A pharmacist with mask serves a customer in Milan SEATTLE GLASGOW MILAN TEHRAN JAPAN SOUTH KOREA WUHAN
 ??  ?? TEMPERATUR­E CHECK In Bangkok, Thailand
TEMPERATUR­E CHECK In Bangkok, Thailand

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