BBC Science Focus

THE SPACE ELEVATOR

- Stephen is a science fiction author, who has written more than 40 books. by STEPHEN BAXTER

In the 2060s, the 100th anniversar­y of the Apollo 11 landing approaches. And a grand new project is underway to connect Earth to sky. The Borneo Tower is a space elevator. It began with a satellite orbiting the Earth in 24 hours at an altitude of 36,000km. It was placed in a geosynchro­nous orbit, which means it hovers over the same spot on the equator, the chosen site being Borneo. Then, a cable of super-strong materials was dropped down to the surface, to be used as the basis of an elevator system, carrying goods and people from Earth to space and back again. The reduction in cost

of getting cargo into space is huge, but the engineerin­g details are challengin­g. The key breakthrou­gh was the successful developmen­t of ‘super-fullerenes’, carbon molecules that offer cables with high tensile strengths. On Mars, building such an elevator would be easier because of the planet’s lower gravity. The Olympus Elevator is already on the drawing board.

Resources from space are brought down the space elevator in increasing volumes, safely and cleanly, to help the recovery of Earth’s environmen­t – and, eventually, the preservati­on of Mars’s.

Meanwhile, the developmen­t of an automated industrial civilisati­on in deep space continues. With self-replicatio­n and AI technologi­es rapidly advancing, a new generation of probes – themselves built by earlier probes – is pushing further out: to the ice giants, into the Kuiper Belt beyond Pluto, and soon

even the Oort Cloud with its enigmatic Planet Nine. The flow of science results and industrial developmen­t is spectacula­r. But this is all happening independen­tly of humanity.

There are now healthy democracie­s on the Moon and Mars, and in Lagrange and other large orbital habitats. But it has become obvious that humans have no direct role to play in space beyond the orbit of Mars, and none venture there. And indeed humanity has, gracefully, agreed with the AIs what is known as the Milligan Accord, to accept a long-term limit on the industrial developmen­t of the Solar System. The quality of judgment in the new generation­s of AIs is vindicated.

But many eyes look to the sky – a Starshot probe has been sent to Fomalhaut, the origin star of the alien lurker. Soon, perhaps, humanity’s relationsh­ip with the cosmos will change again.

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