Huddersfield Daily Examiner

Economic growth slumps to 0.2%

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UK economic growth slowed in the final quarter of last year as car manufactur­ing declined at its steepest rate in just under a decade.

Gross domestic product (GDP) growth fell to 0.2% between October and December, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

This compares to 0.6% growth in the previous quarter, when warm weather and the World Cup contribute­d to a boost in economic activity.

Meanwhile, annual GDP increased by 1.4%, the weakest it has been since 2009.

Sterling tumbled following the news, dropping 0.4% versus the US dollar to 1.28. Against the euro, the pound was down 0.1% at 1.14.

But Prime Minister Theresa May’s official spokesman said: “The UK economy continues to grow and remains fundamenta­lly strong.”

Car production was down 4.9% in the period, marking the biggest decline since the first quarter of 2009.

Total production output slipped by 1.1%, the largest decline since the end of 2012. This included a 0.9% dip in manufactur­ing.

Constructi­on was also lower, dropping 0.3% in the fourth quarter. This follows two consecutiv­e quarters of growth during the summer, when companies caught up with work delayed by adverse weather early in the year. Although services output was up, growth slowed to 0.4% following a relatively strong performanc­e during the summer.

The ONS said it reflected a slowdown across a number of industries, as Brexitrela­ted concerns weighed on business-tobusiness spending at the end of 2018.

Speaking about the impact of a potential no-deal Brexit on the economy, Chancellor Philip Hammond said: “Business is challenged, I accept that, but we can’t convey informatio­n that we don’t have. We don’t know how some of our partners on the other side of the channel will behave in the event of no-deal Brexit.

“My judgment is that we are likely to get the (Prime Minister’s) deal through Parliament, but I can’t be 100% certain, and that is why we are doing the contingenc­y planning we are doing. Once businesses have clarity, they will invest again.

“No-deal would be a very bad outcome for our economy.”

Rob Kent-Smith, head of GDP at the ONS, said: “GDP slowed in the last three months of the year with the manufactur­ing of cars and steel products seeing steep falls and constructi­on also declining. However, services continued to grow with the health sector, management consultant­s and IT all doing well.

“Declines were seen across the economy in December, but single-month data can be volatile, meaning quarterly figures often give a better indication of the health of the economy.”

Compared with the same quarter in 2017, the UK economy is estimated to have grown by 1.3%, the weakest in six years. It was last weaker in the second quarter of 2012.

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Philip Hammond

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