Kentish Express Ashford & District

WHO WILL YOU BE VOTING FOR?

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While every election is fought against the political background of the day, you would be hard pressed to find one quite as unusual as the ones being contested in May.

Four years ago, these elections took place at the start of a longer than expected journey towards Brexit.

Voters are heading to the polls in the midst of a global pandemic that has triggered three national lockdowns and the tragic deaths of tens of thousands.

Equally unlikely would have been the idea that instead of coming out of a period of austerity, cash-strapped councils would be confronted by their worst nightmares, struggling with catastroph­ic declines in income, only partially reimbursed by the government.

It is a scenario that makes prediction­s of the outcome even harder than normal.

The 2017 county council election saw the Conservati­ves romp to victory and secure a thumping majority, seizing 67 of the 81 seats up for grabs. Labour had an uncomforta­ble election, seeing their 13 seats more than halved and ousted as the official opposition by the Liberal Democrats.

As is often the case with local elections, it was national politics that proved as influentia­l a factor, with Brexit still overshadow­ing the political landscape.

While the previous year’s referendum had seen voters back departure from the EU, the government was still some way from coming up with a deal or timetable.

After council elections that seemed to place the Conservati­ves in a strong position, leader Theresa May threw caution to the wind and called a snap election the following month.

The gamble backfired spectacula­rly when she lost outright control and endured a torrid two years that eventually saw her forced out of Downing Street.

Her implosion seemed an unlikely propositio­n given the comfortabl­e winning margins in true-blue Tory heartland like Kent, where the party’s comprehens­ive victory owed much to the demise of Ukip, which lost every one of its 17 seats on the county council.

And while Jeremy Corbyn proved popular in parts of the country, he was not an asset in Kent, with the party actually losing ground - and so much ground that it was ousted as the official opposition on KCC.

Against the uncertain and still turbulent backdrop of Covid, the election may strike some as an irrelevanc­e.

If that is the case, candidates may find it even harder to get through to voters.

On the other hand, the pandemic has, paradoxica­lly, highlighte­d the important role councils have had to play as well as the devastatin­g impact the coronaviru­s has had on their budgets.

Will it still be a true blue county after May 6? Here’s our political editor’s assessment of the prospects for the parties:

With 67 councillor­s out of 81, it would be a major upset if the party under new leader Roger Gough failed to be back at the helm after May 6.

While Ukip nearly cost the party control in 2013, four years later the Conservati­ves won back every single one of the 17 seats it lost and capitalise­d on a Labour party split over the divisive leadership of Jeremy Corbyn.

Not that everything has been smooth running for the party: its decision to increase council tax by 5% saw a mini-revolt, with two councillor­s - Cllr Paul Cooper and Gary Cooke - refusing to endorse the budget, landing them with a three-week suspension.

It could be a tricky election for Labour, just as it was last time round when they paid the price for having a leader who was massively popular with left-leaning paid-up party activists but who lacked popular appeal among ordinary voters. New leader Keir Starmer has steadied the ship but has yet to show any cut through with moderate voters in the same way Tony Blair did. His decision to put nurses pay at the heart of the party’s campaign might be opportunis­tic but if it wins the party votes, he won’t mind.

The party is also under a new leader, but as things stand many voters would probably struggle to know his name.

Their traditiona­l heartland over recent years has been Maidstone and Malling, where they have a number of elected members. But it is difficult to conceive of a breakthrou­gh elsewhere and it would be regarded as a relatively successful campaign if they were worth to pick up the odd seats here and there. Canterbury used to be a happy hunting ground but against the ascendancy of Labour and its MP Rosie Duffield, it has been less so.

A long-awaited breakthrou­gh for the Green Party came in in 2013 when voters elected Martin Whybrow as councillor for Hythe West.But the party’s first member on KCC is calling it a day and that might raise problems for his replacemen­t candidate Georgina Treloar. However, there has been a non-aggression pact with the Lib Dems in the Folkestone area which may help.

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