Drop in migration ‘not a Brexodus’
NET migration to the UK from the European Union has fallen to the lowest level in nearly five years, official figures reveal.
An estimated 90,000 more long-term EU migrants arrived in Britain than left in the 12 months to September 2017.
It is the first time net migration from the bloc has dipped below 100,000 since the year to March 2013, and the lowest figure recorded since 2012.
The data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show tens of thousands of EU nationals departed the country, while at the same time fewer arrived for work.
Immigration figures published since the EU referendum have sparked claims of a “Brexodus” – though commentators pointed out more people are still coming to live in the UK than departing.
Overall net long-term migration – the difference between the numbers arriving and leaving for at least 12 months – from the EU and the rest of the world was 244,000 in the 12 months to September.
This was down by 29,000 on the previous year but still well above the Government’s target of less than 100,000.
Nicola White, ONS head of international migration statistics, said net migration is at a similar level to early 2014.
She added: “Brexit could well be a factor in people’s decision to move to or from the UK, but people’s decision to migrate is complicated and can be influenced by lots of different reasons.”
The figures come as Government officials work to draw up post-Brexit arrangements which incorporate an end to free movement while ensuring any fall in overseas labour does not damage the economy.
Jonathan Portes, senior fellow at The UK in a Changing Europe and professor of economic and public policy at King’s College London, said the fall in net migration from the EU is “due to the fact that, after the Brexit vote, the UK has become significantly less attractive to European migrants, for both economic and psychological reasons”.
James Stewart, head of Brexit at KPMG UK, a network of professional firms, said: “What we’re hearing from clients is that as a result of the uncertainty around Brexit, many are now struggling to recruit and retain to lower skilled positions, which have often been filled by EU citizens in recent years.
“The construction and hospitality industries are particularly affected and many clients have the ready supply of people as a top risk as we approach March 2019.”
Alp Mehmet, vice chairman of Migration Watch UK, said: “There are still nearly 100,000 more EU citizens arriving than leaving. This is hardly a ‘Brexodus.’
“The fall in overall net migration is welcome but it is still running at nearly a quarter of a million a year – far above the Government’s target.”
Immigration Minister Caroline Nokes said the Government is committed to bringing net migration down to the tens of thousands.