Nottingham Post

Misinforme­d about the true cost of HS2

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IN the interest of factual accuracy regarding the cost of HS2, I’m afraid Mr Neil Stafford (“HS2 cost a drop in the ocean in the pandemic”, Opinion, February 2) has been misinforme­d when he quotes and compares figures.

Irrespecti­ve of opinions as to what else taxpayers’ money should be spent on (pandemic or not) it would be helpful to make such representa­tions and opinions based on the factual cost to the nation of HS2.

The figure we see regularly in the media and quoted in both Government and HS2 publicatio­ns (the £106 billion sort of figure) is the “estimated” cost of constructi­on only. This figure doesn’t include the two primary costs of the HS2 project, namely the capital finance costs (the cost of borrowing the money) and the compensati­on costs to those who will lose land or property to it.

These two cost elements combined dwarf the constructi­on costs. This is one of the scandals of HS2 – these costs are omitted from the benefit cost ratio (BCR). Were they to be included, the BCR becomes a negative, in other words for each one pound spent, it costs more than that one pound to actually have HS2.

There’s nothing clever about any of this, just a routine of making the BCR look all bright and squeaky clean. Quite apart from the obvious deceit, it’s a departure from accepted methods of establishi­ng the true value of any given project.

But once again, no matter how you look at the enormous cost, and how many apples you compare with pears, HS2 is most certainly not a “drop in the ocean” by any wild stretch of vested interest or imaginatio­n.

David Briggs Kingston on Soar

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