Scottish Daily Mail

Indyref 2 is a ‘lost cause’ on economy

Stark admission by top independen­ce supporter

- By Michael Blackley Scottish Political Editor

A PROMINENT independen­ce campaigner has admitted that the case for Scotland leaving the UK is a ‘lost cause’ unless the economy improves.

Michael Fry, the historian who led the pro-separation Wealthy Nation group in the lead up to the 2014 referendum, has urged Nicola Sturgeon to make the economy her top priority.

He spoke out ahead of GDP figures due to be published today which will show whether Scotland is in recession for the first time since 2012.

Mr Fry said: ‘It is time for the Government to switch its focus to economic growth as the main means of carrying the nation forward. The project of reducing inequality has after all failed.’

He added: ‘We will probably learn that Scotland has slid into recession after two quarters of falling output. It is all the more galling that the UK economy is staging a modest recovery. Brexit can therefore not be the explanatio­n of the Scottish predicamen­t.’

Mr Fry called for a cut in the rate of income tax and a ban on all increases in public expenditur­e between now and the next Scottish parliament elections in 2021.

He said: ‘Unless we at least match the growth rate elsewhere – one of the SNP’s forgotten promises – then the second referendum on independen­ce is a lost cause.

‘What are the doom-mongers and the nay-sayers going to say as polling day approaches? Their slogans will be, “vote for Union and subsidy”, “vote for independen­ce and poverty”. ‘Unless we have raised the nation’s growth rate, there will be no answer to those cynical slogans.’

Ahead of today’s GDP figures, the Scottish Conservati­ves published a five-point plan for boosting the economy, including abolishing the controvers­ial ‘large business supplement’ to bring business rates into line with the rest of the UK and removing the threat of an independen­ce vote.

Tory economy spokesman Dean Lockhart said: ‘Scotland stands on the brink of recession and the Nationalis­ts have no one to blame but themselves... The Scottish Government has to adopt these ideas to kickstart Scotland’s economy, and at least begin to catch up with other parts of Britain.’

Scottish Lib Dem leader Willie Rennie said: ‘Scotland has an economy that is erratic and unstable. Growth has been sporadic and unemployme­nt has varied.

‘If Scotland is in a recession then the First Minister will seriously need to think about a lot more than just independen­ce.’

A Scottish Government spokesman said: ‘While we of course recognise the continuing challenges for the Scottish economy, Scotland’s unemployme­nt rate is at a record low, the productivi­ty gap with the UK is closing and [we] achieved a record-breaking year for foreign direct investment projects in Scotland in 2016.’

THE number of Scots in ‘insecure’ jobs has risen by 22 per cent since 2011, according to research commission­ed by the Trades Union Congress. An additional 40,000 people have taken on temporary or casual jobs, often with no guaranteed hours or baseline employment rights.

‘Scotland on brink of recession’

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