Scottish Daily Mail

Voters now have a clear choice. Great British enterprise — or Corbyn’s Marxist train wreck

- By Alex Brummer CITY EDITOR

ANYONE watching Chancellor Philip Hammond giving the Spring Statement yesterday will have observed a transforme­d figure.

Out of the window went the pessimism of the past, and the reservatio­ns about Brexit which led to him being disparaged as Eeyore.

Instead, we saw him reinvigora­ted — triumphant­ly extolling the fact the British economy had cheated forecaster­s with its sterling performanc­e since the June 2016 referendum.

He clearly took enormous pride in the way the Government, after long years of budgetary discipline, is finally starting to pay its way on a day-to-day basis.

But what was most impressive about the Chancellor’s performanc­e was his unbridled enthusiasm for private enterprise and free market capitalism, and how effective he was at putting clear blue water between the Tories and the ardent Socialists who now populate Labour’s front bench.

Flourishin­g

Their vision of wholesale nationalis­ation and a public spending splurge would, overnight, destroy all the painstakin­g progress made in restoring the public finances.

Mr Hammond lauded Britain as an ‘open and outward looking’ nation with a market economy that ‘embraces talent and creates opportunit­y’.

His remarks were straight out of the Thatcherit­e lexicon, the fervent belief that it is only through private enterprise and capitalism that the wealth can be created to provide better public services.

Mr Hammond and his officials at the Treasury have slimmed down the Spring Statement and done away with the tedium of spelling out in excruciati­ng detail the minutiae of dozens of tax and spending changes.

Yesterday, the Chancellor seemed to be relishing the new freedoms this gave him. He was unfettered by the shopping lists of economic and political measures that his predecesso­rs Gordon Brown, Alistair Darling and George Osborne delighted in.

It enabled him not only to proclaim the improvemen­ts in employment figures, manufactur­ing and public finances, but also to make a clear political statement of intent in which he showed there was a choice between his vision of a Britain flourishin­g through work and enterprise, and the ‘economic train wreck’ that would follow from statist Labour.

It is true that the growth forecasts for Britain in the coming few years from the independen­t — but cautious — Office for Budget Responsibi­lity (OBR) are modest.

But instead of treating them as the Holy Grail, Hammond rightly saw them as targets to be challenged by the British people, the City of London and industry — and beaten.

And his optimistic approach is not unreasonab­le: after all, the growth forecast for the economy in 2017 was put at 1.5 per cent last November, but has come in at a modestly higher 1.7 per cent.

Much of the negativity in the November projection­s was based on the OBR’s belief that, in the aftermath of the financial crisis, Britain’s workforce had become less productive.

Remarkably, however, in the last two quarters, productivi­ty growth has soared.

Indeed, there is good reason to think that the UK could be on the verge of a more permanent change — that increased productivi­ty could actually become the status quo.

Higher levels of employment, which have seen three million jobs created since 2010, mean that cheap labour is no longer as freely available. Companies will therefore be forced to invest in new plant, technology and skills training if they are to expand — and this, in turn, should result in still higher productivi­ty.

In addition, manufactur­ing has been boosted by the devaluatio­n of the pound, which makes British goods and services exports cheaper overseas.

As Mr Hammond enjoyed pointing out to the exasperate­d Labour front benches, the nation’s factories are enjoying their longest unbroken run of growth for some five decades.

With all the gloom and doom that laces the language of the Left and the Remainers, it is easy to forget that Britain has seen positive growth in every year since 2010.

Among the most important consequenc­es of Britain’s better than expected growth in recent months has been a striking improvemen­t in the public finances.

The faster the economy grows, the more taxes pour into the Exchequer, and the less money the Government has to spend on unemployme­nt benefits and social security.

Even the cautious OBR now expects government borrowing to be £4.7 billion less for the 2017-18 financial year than it predicted in November — a total of £45.2 billion. Meanwhile, the influentia­l Institute for Fiscal Studies suggests it could end up even lower, at £41billion.

What is indisputab­le is that, if you exclude capital spending on new programmes such as Crossrail in London, HS2 and planned new roads and infrastruc­ture, the Government is already running a daily surplus. That is to say, for the first time since 2001/2002, it is receiving more in taxes than it spends.

That, in its own way, is a landmark moment given the £153billion annual deficit that George Osborne inherited from Labour in 2010.

Peak

Of course, liberal commentato­rs and Labour politician­s believe this improvemen­t in the public finances gives the country an excuse for a spending splurge to deal with underfundi­ng of the NHS, and social care services provided by local authoritie­s.

But this would be foolish in the extreme. For the reality is that national borrowing is still unacceptab­ly high precisely because of spending on big capital projects.

As a result, the overall budget deficit is still projected to be running at an eye-watering £25.6 billion by 2022-23 — which, by no stretch of the imaginatio­n, represents a balanced budget.

And a significan­t contributo­ry factor to the budget deficit is the interest on the national debt — the debt accumulate­d through all the years of borrowing — which stands at £1.8 trillion. That’s 86.5 per cent of national output and the highest level it has ever been in peace time.

So how, under such circumstan­ces, can we possibly countenanc­e a spending splurge?

The better news is that the national debt has reached its peak and should come down by a smidgen in 2018-19, before dropping to 79.1 per cent of national output by the end of this Parliament.

Strengths

The Tories have managed to claw back £108 billion from borrowing since 2010 — a sum, which Hammond noted yesterday, might just pay for the spending promises made by Labour’s Marxist Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell.

Aside from the cautious optimism on figures, what stood out in this Spring Statement was the Chancellor’s decision to put all his recent misgivings about leaving the EU behind him, and instead home in on Britain’s strengths as the country faces a post-Brexit era.

We have been desperate to hear a voice with a positive vision for the future — and Mr Hammond found the right tone. He recognises that our worldclass universiti­es are delivering breakthrou­gh discoverie­s and inventions; that London is the world’s most global city and its financial and profession­al services capital, while the UK’s tech sector is attracting skills from across the planet.

Yes, there will be money available to help government department­s through the changes demanded by us leaving the EU — but Mr Hammond made it clear that the nation has the necessary creativity to ride out any storms that might follow.

In contrast, Labour’s proposed ‘fix’ for the economy — rampant nationalis­ation, higher taxes and untrammell­ed public spending — can only lead us back into penury.

So let’s hear it for Spreadshee­t Phil — the man who has,

at last, rediscover­ed the true Tory spirit of enterprise.

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