WHAT WALES NEED NOW
HERE’S how the qualifying situation now looks for Wales...
Latest results
Sunday, October 13: Hungary 1-0 Azerbaijan, Wales 1-1 Croatia (Read the match report here)
What are the remaining fixtures? Saturday, November 16: Azerbaijan v Wales, Croatia v Slovakia
Tuesday, November 19: Wales v Hungary, Slovakia v Azerbaijan
What do Wales now need to qualify for Euro 2020 automatically?
The draw against Croatia means Wales now have eight points with just two matches remaining.
And as Hungary beat Azerbaijan on Sunday evening, Wales now have to beat the Hungarians in their final match to stand any hope of qualifying automatically as they are four points worse off. If Wales win their final two games, they will finish on 14 points. They would claim a top two spot if Slovakia fail to win both of their remaining matches.
But there is a way they can still qualify automatically even if they drop more points.
A win against Hungary by a greater scoreline than 1-0 would see Wales have the better head-to-head record over the Hungarians. This is because Hungary currently have a better head-to-head record having beaten Giggs’ side 1-0 in Budapest earlier this year.
With Wales currently trailing the Hungarians by four points, victory over Hungary - by a better scoreline of 1-0 - would mean a draw in Azerbaijan would be enough to pip Hungary in the overall standings.
And then there’s Slovakia.
Wales - if they drew with Azerbaijan and beat Hungary, and earned a better head-to-head record over the latter - would then need Slovakia to fail to win either of their remaining two matches.
If Wales lost to Azerbaijan and beat Hungary, they could still qualify again, as long as they earned a better head-to-head record over Hungary - if Slovakia claim no more than one point in their last two games.
What about the Nations League? The Nations League could yet come to Wales’ rescue.