Vote tactically to keep May in check
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THESE are the 100 Conservative seats most vulnerable in this year’s election.
From Gower in Wales – where there is a Tory majority of just 27 – through to Lib Dem target Eastleigh.
The list shows which party has the best chance of toppling the Tory incumbent and how much of a swing they would need to do it. Vote for Seat Majority LAB Gower 27 LAB Derby North 41 LAB Croydon Central 165 LAB Vale of Clwyd 237 LAB Bury North 378 LAB Morley and Outwood 422 LAB Thurrock 536 LAB Plymouth Sutton & Devonport 523 LIB Eastbourne 733 LAB Brighton Kemptown 690 SNP Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale, Tweeddale 798 LAB Bolton West 801 LAB Weaver Vale 806 LAB Telford 730 LIB Lewes 1,083 LAB Bedford 1,097 LAB Plymouth Moor View 1,026 LIB Thornbury & Yate 1,495 LAB Lincoln 1,443 LIB Twickenham 2,017 LAB Peterborough 1,925 LAB Cardiff North 2,137 LAB Corby 2,412 LAB Waveney 2,408 LAB Warrington South 2,750 LIB Kingston & Surbiton 2,834 LIB St Ives 2,469 LAB Southampton Itchen 2,316 LAB Keighley 3,053 LAB Warwickshire North 2,973 LAB Carlisle 2,774 LIB Torbay 3,286 LAB Halesowen & Rowley Regis 3,082 LAB Crewe & Nantwich 3,620 LAB Erewash 3,584 LAB Hendon 3,724 LAB Ipswich 3,733 LIB Sutton & Cheam 3,921 LAB Stroud 4,866 LAB. Broxtowe 4,287 LIB Bath 3,833 LAB Northampton North 3,245 LAB Calder Valley 4,427 LAB Blackpool North & Cleveleys 3,340 LAB Pudsey 4,501 LAB Sherwood 4,647 LAB Amber Valley 4,205 LIB Yeovil 5,313 LAB Hastings and Rye 4,796 LAB Colne Valley 5,378 LAB Bristol North West 4,944 LAB High Peak 4,894 LAB Harrow East 4,757 LAB Stockton South 5,046 LAB Northampton South 3,793 LAB Norwich North 4,463 LAB Stevenage 4,955 LAB Enfield & Southgate 4,753 LAB Cannock Chase 4,923 LAB Morecambe & Lunesdale 4,590 LAB Nuneaton 4,882 LAB Finchley & Golders Green 5,662 Swing
to defeat 0.03% 0.05% 0.16% 0.34% 0.42% 0.44% 0.54% 0.55% 0.69% 0.76% 0.77% 0.82% 0.86% 0.90% 1.07% 1.19% 1.20% 1.54% 1.54% 1.63% 2.04% 2.09% 2.15% 2.31% 2.32% 2.39% 2.56% 2.59% 3.11% 3.14% 3.26% 3.42% 3.52% 3.63% 3.71% 3.75% 3.83% 3.93% 4.00% 4.01% 4.06% 4.12% 4.13% 4.24% 4.42% 4.58% 4.60% 4.67% 4.71% 4.73% 4.77% 4.82% 4.85% 4.87% 4.88% 5.12% 5.18% 5.19% 5.23% 5.31% 5.34% 5.58% Vote for Seat LAB Dudley South LAB South Ribble LAB Worcester LIB Colchester LAB Rossendale & Darwen LAB Swindon South LIB Cheltenham LIB Cheadle LIB Berwick-upon-Tweed LAB Preseli Pembrokeshire LAB Pendle LIB Portsmouth South LAB Dover Majority 4,270 5,945 5,646 5,575 5,654 5,785 6,516 6,453 4,914 4,969 5,453 5,241 6,294 Swing
to defeat 5.59% 5.68% 5.68% 5.74% 5.77% 5.87% 6.06% 6.08% 6.08% 6.13% 6.13% 6.25% 6.27% Vote for Seat LIB Brecon & Radnorshire LAB Reading East LAB Scarborough & Whitby LAB Warwick & Leamington LIB Devon North LAB Aberconwy LIB Wells LAB Vale of Glamorgan LAB Crawley LIB Cornwall North LAB Reading West LAB Gloucester LAB Great Yarmouth Majority 5,102 6,520 6,200 6,606 6,936 3,999 7,585 6,880 6,526 6,621 6,650 7,251 6,154 Swing
to defeat 6.37% 6.46% 6.49% 6.53% 6.63% 6.63% 6.66% 6.71% 6.72% 6.86% 6.87% 6.90% 6.92% Vote for Seat Majority LAB Chipping Barnet 7,656 LAB Stourbridge 6,694 LAB Elmet & Rothwell 8,490 LAB Milton Keynes South 8,672 LAB Carmarthen W & S Pembrokes 6,054 LIB Hazel Grove 6,552 LAB Camborne & Redruth 7,004 LAB Battersea 7,938 LIB Montgomeryshire 5,325 LAB Redditch 7,054 LIB St Austell & Newquay 8,173 LIB Eastleigh 9,147 Swing
to defeat 7.22% 7.27% 7.34% 7.36% 7.50% 7.58% 7.63% 7.78% 7.89% 8.00% 8.11% 8.24%