The Courier & Advertiser (Angus and Dundee)

GERS figures are reliable

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Sir, - Mr Les Mackay (March 30) would do well to choose his “experts” more carefully.

All Richard Murphy has proven is his lack of familiarit­y with the convention of how economic statistics are compiled and presented and offering them as Westminste­r figures has no credibilit­y whatsoever.

GERS was compiled for the Scottish Government by Scottish civil servants and it is standard practice to base such reports on estimates.

There is a supplement within the GERS report detailing the confidence attributed to estimates made and there is a code of practice for official statistics, to which GERS adheres.

Should Mr Mackay wish to seek genuine expertise, he might consult Professor Ronald MacDonald, research professor of macroecono­mics and internatio­nal finance (economics) at the University of Glasgow, or Professor Angus Armstrong, director of macroecono­mics at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) and previously head of macroecono­mic analysis at HM Treasury.

Both will testify to the veracity of the GERS statistica­l methodolog­y and, therefore, the conclusion­s that may be quite legitimate­ly drawn about the strengths and weaknesses of the Scottish economy from these Scottish Government figures. Hamish Hossick. 7 Ogilvie Court, Broughty Ferry.

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