What happens to Spurs and Chelsea if they fail to finish in the top four?
The London clubs meet tomorrow knowing there are big issues for whoever finishes fifth
The managers
Chelsea Antonio Conte is expected to leave at the end of the season, wherever Chelsea finish, so the bigger issue is whether failure to qualify for the Champions League would impact on their search for a replacement.
Luis Enrique or Thomas Tuchel are unlikely to be put off the prospect of succeeding the Italian if Chelsea finish fifth, but it would probably kill off any slim hope of landing the man who would be their ideal first choice – Mauricio Pochettino. Chelsea know there is little chance of taking Pochettino away from Spurs, but they will make a check if they pip their London rivals to fourth place.
Tottenham Daniel Levy, the chairman, is hopeful of convincing Pochettino to sign a new contract and lead Spurs into their new stadium next season. Qualification for the Champions League would obviously make that easier, but the Argentine’s future is not dependent on it. Tottenham would fight any move for their manager from Chelsea, even if they finish fifth, and Paris Saint-germain’s interest is not causing any major panic. An approach from Real Madrid would get Pochettino thinking, but the smart money is currently on him signing a deal and sticking around for at least another season.
Keeping their stars
Chelsea Thibaut Courtois is still yet to sign a new contract and will only have 12 months remaining on his deal at the end of the season.
Without Champions League football, it may be hard to convince the Belgian to commit himself past his final year – even if Chelsea’s offer would make him the highestpaid goalkeeper in the world.
Similarly, Eden Hazard will have two years left at the end of the season and it is hard to see why he would sign a new deal or ignore interest from Real if the club finish outside the top four. It should, however, be noted that Chelsea kept all of their stars when they failed to qualify for Europe two years ago.
Tottenham Toby Alderweireld looks set to leave, regardless of where they finish, and doubts remain over Danny Rose’s future at the club. Mousa Dembele has also revealed talks over a new contract will not take place before the World Cup, as he assesses his options. A place in the Champions League could influence Dembele’s decision. Tottenham, though, are confident of securing Harry Kane, Dele Alli, Jan Vertonghen and
Hugo Lloris to new contracts, with Levy insistent that only players whom Pochettino is willing to sell will leave ahead of the move into the new stadium.
New signings
Chelsea Despite missing out on European qualification, Chelsea enjoyed a highly successful transfer window two summers ago – signing N’golo Kante, Marcos Alonso and David Luiz, who were all key to last season’s title success.
Their budget is unlikely to change dramatically based on where they finish, but this will be a big summer and they need to get it right. The World Cup and the earlier closure of the transfer window will make things more difficult, so being able to offer players Champions League football would obviously be an advantage.
Tottenham Pochettino’s targets will not change depending on where Spurs finish and he already has to shop in a different market to most of his rivals, in any case.
But Tottenham are desperate to land Ryan Sessegnon if Fulham are not promoted and will have a better chance of convincing him not to go to Manchester City if they
secure a top-four spot. Part of Levy compelling Pochettino to sign a new contract could be demonstrating to him that Spurs will have the sort of money it will take to remain competitive near the top. Levy operates a big bonus system at Tottenham, which means the wage structure will not change too much, regardless of Champions League qualification.
Young players
Chelsea Missing out on the Champions League and dropping into the Europa League could offer more chances to youngsters such as Ethan Ampadu and Callum Hudson-odoi. It could also impact on Ruben Loftus-cheek and Tammy Abraham, who could be needed to boost the squad.
Tottenham Pochettino offered chances to the likes of Tom Carroll, Josh Onomah and Harry Winks last time Spurs were in the Europa League, so failure to qualify for the Champions League would open up more opportunities to the club’s latest youngsters, such as Kyle Walker-peters and Juan Foyth.