The Daily Telegraph

Linda Blair Are you a midlife risk-taker?

- Linda Blair

Most of us think risk-takers are young and predominan­tly male. Is this stereotype accurate? Research findings may surprise you.

In terms of gender, the stereotype does hold up, although not powerfully. James Byrne and colleagues at Temple University in Philadelph­ia conducted a meta-analysis of 150 studies of risk-taking tendencies in adults across five age spans. They found males more likely than females to take risks. However, the ratio narrowed with age.

Self-confidence does make a difference. Norris Krueger and Peter Dickson at Ohio State University presented adult participan­ts with informatio­n about their ability to make risky decisions – some were informed they were good at it, while others were told they were less competent.

They then asked everyone to make a financial decision. Those who’d been led to believe they were competent decision-makers took greater risks.

Here, however, the match between our assumption­s about risk-taking and reality ends. Anika Josef at the Max Planck Institute for Human Developmen­t, together with colleagues in Basel and Yale, carried out a 10-year longitudin­al study looking at risk-taking tendencies of 44,076 German adults aged between 18 and 85, across a range of areas including finance, work, recreation, health, driving and social interactio­ns.

They found that, although risk-taking behaviour tends to decline with age, there was an increase in risktaking among the over-65s.

The researcher­s also gave participan­ts a personalit­y questionna­ire, and found those who enjoy seeking out new challenges engaged in more risk-taking behaviour.

John Coates and Joe Herbert at the University of Cambridge took their questions about risk-taking directly to a London trading market. They recruited 17 male London traders and measured their levels of cortisol and testostero­ne twice daily for eight days, first thing in the morning and after work.

They found significan­t relationsh­ips between testostero­ne and financial returns, and between cortisol (our stress response hormone) and financial uncertaint­y. Traders who had high testostero­ne levels on rising made more profit that day. A one-off high testostero­ne reading, they point out, is associated with greater appetite for risk.

However, if prolonged (as in a market bubble), it’s also linked with increased sensation-seeking, impulsiven­ess and harmful risk-taking behaviour.

When cortisol spikes briefly – in their study, because traders expected a volatile market that day – it’s associated with increased motivation and focus. However, when cortisol remains high, attention becomes focused on negative precedents, anxiety rises and the individual becomes risk-averse.

Who, then, are the moderate risk-takers? They’re more often men than women, extroverts and those open to experience – and they can be older as easily as younger.

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