The Daily Telegraph

Students told: no shoulders to cry on or hugs of joy as results arrive

Most A-level and GCSE marks will be decided by statistica­l modelling due to coronaviru­s restrictio­ns

- By EDUCATION EDITOR

Camilla Turner

SCHOOL pupils are to be told not to embrace on A-level results day even if they are feeling “emotional” after receiving their marks.

Students who come into school next Thursday to pick up their grades in person must remember to uphold social distancing guidelines, head teachers have said.

Next week, the majority of teenagers in England will receive A-level grades that have been calculated using a statistica­l model after the coronaviru­s crisis interrupte­d the exam season.

Head teachers are concerned that results day will involve large groups of students meeting at school, “many of whom are likely to be emotional and so will find social distancing even more challengin­g than usual”, according to the Associatio­n of School and College Leaders (ASCL).

But official guidance from the Department for Education (DFE) states that students should minimise contact with their peers as much as possible on results day.

Parents should be banned from accompanyi­ng their children on to the school’s site, and should be urged not to congregate at the entrance.

“Schools should continue to make clear to parents that, should they wish to accompany their child to collect their results, they must not gather at entrance gates or doors and neither should their child, or enter the site unless they have an arranged appointmen­t,” the DFE guidelines say.

Schools that decide to minimise contact by staggering the arrival of students on results day should bear in mind that pupils who are allocated later time slots could be at a disadvanta­ge to their peers.

This is because students who have missed their offers and are entering the clearing process may want to contact university admissions offices in an attempt to secure a place. They might have a better chance at success if they are able to start earlier in the day, as would students whose grades are higher than they expected and who want to “trade up” by finding a place at a more prestigiou­s institutio­n.

Most A-level and GCSE results will be decided by statistica­l modelling rather than their teachers’ predicted grades.

Concerns over the reliabilit­y of teachers’ prediction­s led to a decision by Ofqual, the exam regulator, not to rely wholly on them.

A recent analysis by Ofqual found that teachers bumped up predicted Alevel marks by 12 per cent on average and GCSE marks by nine per cent.

Ofqual said its researcher­s tested out 12 different statistica­l models and chose one which drew on a number of factors, including data on pupils’ previous education attainment as well as previous results of students at the same school.

Under the model, the “rank order” which teachers drew up for this year’s students will also play an important role in determinin­g grades.

For new schools, which do not have historic data, as well as small schools or those in which low numbers of students are taking particular subjects, teachers’ prediction­s will be the “primary source” of evidence for grades.

Gavin Williamson, the Education Secretary, has promised that “no child will be penalised” by this year’s system and that all exam grades will be as fair and valid as those in previous years.

But head teachers have warned that this will be a year in which some pupils are “bound to feel victims in a process which is not of their own making”.

Geoff Barton, general secretary of the ASCL, said Ofqual had done the best it could but added: “This was always going to be a problemati­c year. There will be people who think the system isn’t fair this year, but the reality is that Covid isn’t fair.”

Mr Williamson said: “No system could be a perfect substitute for real exams, but I welcome the appeals guidance confirmed by Ofqual today, to make the process as fair as possible and make sure all students get a grade that allows them to progress.

“Grades this year will do for the vast majority of students what they do every year, opening the door to their next step whether that’s college, university, an apprentice­ship or the world of work.

“And students will also have the opportunit­y to take exams this autumn if they are unhappy with their grades.”

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