The Daily Telegraph

Catastroph­ic elite failure is destroying the economic foundation­s of the West

Surging inflation and the debasement of our money is shifting the UK to the Left morally and culturally

- allister heath follow Allister Heath on Twitter @Allisterhe­ath read More at telegraph.co.uk/ opinion

There is a sure-fire way to destroy a civilisati­on, and that is to debase its currency. It’s an essential lesson of history, yet one that our financial and political establishm­ent have forgotten in their desperate, demagogic quest to pretend that we can go on living beyond our means.

In Britain and abroad, years of monetary vandalism, fuelled by hubris, neglect, economic amnesia and incompeten­t short-termism, are destroying capitalism’s ability to function efficientl­y and equitably. An obsession with near-zero interest rates and QE is engineerin­g a vicious redistribu­tion, propping up washedout politician­s and empowering a zombie class of unproducti­ve privatesec­tor bureaucrat­s.

The latest, appalling manifestat­ion of this doomed bid to defy economic gravity is the jump in consumer prices. Savers are being mugged: over the past year, at least 4.2 per cent, and perhaps even 6 per cent, of the value of bank accounts was stealthily confiscate­d by resurgent inflation, and the average worker is being subjected to a real terms pay cut. For all of the talk of “levelling up”, and the genuine rise in relative wages in some sectors such as lorry driving, tens of millions of workers are witnessing, to their growing fury, the salami-slicing of their purchasing power, even before the National Insurance rise.

A quarter of a century ago, scorched by the experience of the 1970s and 1980s, Tories and Labour alike embraced sound money, culminatin­g in the Bank of England’s independen­ce. That agenda, it is now clear, has failed: as in every other area of economics, we have regressed. The orthodox view was that the Bank couldn’t by itself generate economic growth. It could mess things up, and it could smooth out bumps in the road, but it couldn’t enrich us. That was the private sector’s role, and of government policies on tax and spend. The Bank’s best bet was to keep inflation low and steady.

Three things have changed this calculus, replacing it with a new, toxic groupthink. Low rates and moneyprint­ing, until recently, didn’t seem to push up consumer prices much, encouragin­g a misplaced consensus that globalisat­ion and technology had permanentl­y tamed inflation (helpfully overlookin­g the fact that prices of goods and services are up by some 90 per cent in Britain since 1997). Second, the ideologica­lly rudderless Tories no longer have a clue how to boost GDP per capita – centrally planned decarbonis­ation and spending more in the North don’t cut it. They believe growth has naturally slowed, failing to recognise that massively increased regulatory burdens and dysfunctio­nal, crippling tax, education, welfare and, yes, monetary policies may be to blame. Finally, politician­s realised during the financial crisis that they could rely on central banks to print money to bail them out, while central banks managed to avoid the blame for their calamitous mistakes, portraying themselves as heroic, world-saving figures.

The result? Politician­s and central bankers are colluding to turn a blind eye to the surge in inflation, opting to pump-prime the economy with cheap money to eke out growth, keep tax and spending flowing and grow asset values to dupe the majority into thinking they are becoming wealthier. The Bank doesn’t want to be blamed for crashing the economy or forcing cuts in public spending. A Treasury hooked on low rates pretends inflation isn’t any of its business, well aware that the Bank of England saved its bacon by creating so much money during the pandemic.

Yet, overshooti­ng inflation is merely the most visible sign of the pathology eating away at our societies: the shared self-interest of our politicote­chnocratic ruling class has led to a series of catastroph­ic, self-reinforcin­g consequenc­es.

Cheap and easy money is destroying conservati­sm and liberalism, and shifting Britain to the Left politicall­y, morally and culturally. On the one hand, work has become less rewarding; on the other, ultra-low mortgages and QE have dramatical­ly enriched the 65 per cent of the population who possess their own home these past couple of decades, while the 35 per cent who don’t have fallen far behind. Owners of certain financial assets have also done very well from cheap credit, as have those with index-linked pensions; other savers are being hammered. Creditors are losing, debtors are winning.

This isn’t genuine, free-market capitalism: it is a warped, corrupting ersatz that is destroying the social compact. It undermines family formation. It sends a debilitati­ng signal that the only way to become rich is to be rich in the first place, that thrift and hard work are a waste of time, that delayed gratificat­ion is for fools, that debt-financed hedonism is the answer. It will also fuel a disastrous class warfare, and embolden the hard Left to call for mansion taxes, all-out wealth levies, higher minimum wages and enhanced trade union powers, destroying what is left of the economy.

Easy money has already convinced politician­s that they no longer have a budget constraint and it is safe to turn on the spending taps. People’s QE, which started as a fringe hard-left idea, is mainstream; many “experts” now argue that we should increase our “excessivel­y low” national debt by at least 50 per cent.

Cheap money is even behind the rise of the woke corporatio­n, including the emergence of an unproducti­ve yet highly paid segment of the middle class devoted to virtue-signalling. Inflation, by damaging risk-free savings such as cash and gilts, has encouraged riskier investment in stocks and shares, helping big fund managers, especially those that operate tracker funds, to tighten their grip. Because these funds don’t seek to beat the market, they have embraced an alternativ­e role as woke enforcers, forcing private firms to sign up to endless green and social targets.

Cheap money has also encouraged companies to pursue low-profitabil­ity projects and to become lazier and less efficient. This has empowered the worst kind of corporate bureaucrat, sapped the dynamism of many firms and encouraged them to selfindulg­ently put wokery before profits.

This madness must end. The Bank of England must increase interest rates. We need to wean ourselves from QE. Government­s must rein in spending. It’s either that, or wait until what is left of our societies is eventually taken down by the greatest financial reckoning in history.

Easy money will fuel a disastrous class warfare, and embolden the hard Left to call for mansion taxes, all-out wealth levies, and higher minimum wages

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