The Daily Telegraph

This stock is still undervalue­d despite a 17pc rise since our tip. Don’t stop buying it now

The hi-tech instrument­s maker continues to offer excellent value for money thanks to its long-term growth potential

- ROBERT STEPHENS QUESTOR

Read Questor’s rules of investment before you follow our tips: telegraph.co.uk/go/questorrul­es

Britain’s unloved stock market provides an opportunit­y to buy fast-growing global companies at bargain prices. London’s deep unpopulari­ty, apparently caused by this country’s potent mix of abovetarge­t inflation, restrictiv­e monetary policy and the very real threat of recession, has made valuations exceptiona­lly low.

While this may be understand­able for domestical­ly focused companies that face a challengin­g operating environmen­t at home, a substantia­l number of FTSE 350 stocks generate the majority of their sales abroad. In Questor’s view they are being grossly undervalue­d by investors who mistakenly focus on their listing location rather than on their prospects, and therefore offer excellent long-term capital return potential.

The FTSE 250’s Spectris, for example, generates just 4pc of its revenues in Britain. The precision instrument­s, hi-tech equipment and software company, which provides data and insights to other businesses, generates 27pc of its sales in the US, where annualised economic growth was almost 5pc in the third quarter of last year. Given that the Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates by around 0.8 percentage points to 4.6pc this year, the prospects for companies that operate in the US look upbeat.

Sales in China, meanwhile, represente­d 18pc of the company’s total revenues in 2022. While the country’s near-term prospects are uncertain amid a period of modest deflation, it neverthele­ss offers a more attractive long-term growth outlook than Britain. The IMF expects China’s economy to grow by 4.6pc this year versus growth of just 0.6pc in Britain.

Spectris’s recent trading update highlighte­d its strong performanc­e in the fast-growing economies in which it operates. Third-quarter revenues rose by 11pc on a like-for-like basis, while year-to-date sales were 16pc higher. Such rapid revenue growth did not come by sacrificin­g profitabil­ity: the company reported further progress on operating profit margins after a rise of 1.8 percentage points to 14.5pc in the first half of the year.

It now expects to deliver full-year profits in the upper half of its guidance range and to improve margins further in the next financial year. Its strong order book, meanwhile, provides a degree of visibility and stability not currently commonplac­e among London-listed companies.

Separately, the business completed four acquisitio­ns during the third quarter for a total of £58m. It has the financial means to continue its acquisitio­n spree, as its net cash of £164m at the time of its third-quarter update highlighte­d.

Its solid financial position also provides scope for a return of cash to shareholde­rs. The company is in the process of completing a share buyback programme following the end of a £1.2bn portfolio rationalis­ation plan that began around five years ago.

In Questor’s view, a share buyback programme is well timed. Although the shares currently trade at around 18 times forecast earnings, which may not necessaril­y scream “bargain” to potential investors when other FTSE 250 stocks have far lower earnings multiples, its rate of profit growth means it offers good value for money.

In the first half of its most recent financial year, for example, earnings per share increased by 55pc. Improving cash flow provides scope for greater investment in research and developmen­t, which should enable the company to remain competitiv­e in its key markets.

Since we tipped Spectris as a buy in November 2022, the share price has risen by 17pc. This represents a 13 percentage point outperform­ance of the FTSE 250 index. While this is an encouragin­g performanc­e, that relatively short period has not provided sufficient scope for the stock to fully deliver on its potential.

Unearthing companies that have net cash, a clear competitiv­e advantage, margin growth potential and an attractive valuation based on their growth prospects is a tough task in any market conditions.

Allied to this, Spectris’s diverse geographic­al exposure, improving cash flow and strong order book provide additional reasons for investors to remain upbeat about its prospects.

Of course, how long the pricing anomaly among global companies that happen to be listed in Britain will last is unknown. History, though, suggests that it will be little more than a temporary phenomenon. Keep buying.

Questor says: buy Ticker: SXS

Share price at close: £35.25

‘Spectris’s diverse global exposure, improving cash flow and strong order book are reasons to remain upbeat’

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