The Mail on Sunday

They might hate him on Twitter but the REAL Britain loves Boris -- and he’s heading for an election victory

- By MATTHEW GOODWIN PROFESSOR OF POLITICS, UNIVERSITY OF KENT

THE more that Remain MPs try to obstruct Brexit, the stronger Boris Johnson will become – and the more likely it is that he will command a big Conservati­ve majority at the next General Election.

For, believe me, the British people have responded far more positively to the Johnson premiershi­p than many commentato­rs and others in Westminste­r would have you think.

To grasp how much has changed, we need to briefly revisit the dark, final days of Theresa May’s disastrous premiershi­p.

Three months ago, as the Maybot prepared to depart Downing Street, her legacy was visible to all. Brexit was nowhere to be seen. The Conservati­ve Party had been hollowed out. MPs were at war. Donors were furious. Nearly half of all people who had voted Conservati­ve in 2017 had jumped ship to Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party.

The Conservati­ve Party was like a skydiver who had jumped out of a plane with no parachute.

It was plummeting in the polls and had fallen to a derisory 24 per cent.

May had put one of the world’s oldest and most successful political parties on course for the worst vote in its entire electoral history.

And all of this had opened the door to Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party, which during May’s premiershi­p had enjoyed regular leads in the polls, introducin­g the very real possibilit­y of the most radical Left-wing government in Britain’s history.

Conservati­ves were not just fighting for Brexit. They were fighting for their very survival.

But now fast forward to where we are today.

Boris Johnson has been Prime Minister for less than 90 days but, forgetting the drama of yesterday, look at how different things are. The Conservati­ve Party is coming off life support and is now heading towards a full recovery.

Few of his critics have bothered to notice, but the party’s position has radically improved.

Just look at the numbers. The Conservati­ves averaged only 24 per cent in the final weeks of May but with Johnson at the helm it averaged 30 per cent in early August, 32 per cent in early September and is now on 34 per cent.

With Labour f al l i ng back, as Remainers jump ship to the antiBrexit Liberal Democrats, Johnson has put his party on a secure course toward a majority.

In fact, in one poll this week, the Conservati­ves are up again to 37 per cent, leaving them 15 points clear of Labour. Corbyn is now nowhere to be seen. Of the 54 polls that we have had since Johnson took power, Labour has led in just one. While the twittering classes continue to criticise the Prime Minister, the British people have been quietly sharing their views about who they would most like to lead Britain. The results are striking. Each week or so, voters are asked: ‘ Who would make the best Prime Minister?’ When May was in power, the people had completely tuned out. The most popular answer was ‘not sure’. Today, the public give Johnson a clear and commanding lead; 43 per cent say Johnson, while only 21 per cent say Corbyn.

But now look closer. The overwhelmi­ng majority of Leave supporters prefer Johnson and so t oo, crucially, do Brexit Party voters. Seventy three per cent of Leavers and 84 per cent of Brexit Party voters say that Johnson would make the best prime minister.

This shows how, unlike May, Johnson is actually managing to unify the Leave vote, which used to be divided between the Conservati­ves and the Brexit Party.

Back at the European elections in the spring, nearly 40 per cent of people who had voted Conservati­ve in 2017 had become so fed up with the failure to deliver Brexit that they had

Why twittering classes have got it wrong

defected over to Farage’s party. But, today, Johnson and his team have squeezed that figure down to just 11 per cent. This could make all the difference at the next General Election, gi ven t hat t he Remainers are currently fairly evenly divided between Labour and the Liberal Democrats.

Why are these voters flocking to Johnson? His determinat­ion to deliver Brexit is one piece of the puzzle, but it is not the only piece.

While May never really knew what she believed, in just three months Johnson has laid out an ambitious new agenda t hat is appealing t o voters who back Brexit. These are people who play by the rules, yet feel that life in Britain is rigged against them. Johnson has promised not just to ‘Get Brexit Done’ but to help our creaking NHS, schools, police and, most important of all, the regions outside of London that have for too long been left behind.

Blue-collar Britain is tuning in and likes what it hears.

In the polls, the working classes now show stronger support for Johnson than Corbyn, a shift that will be crucial in Labour Leave seats in northern England, the Midlands and Wales.

You have to wonder about the health of the Labour Party when the very voters that it was set up to represent prefer the Conservati­ve Party leader to Corbyn by a margin of 44 per cent to 17 per cent. Johnson is even ahead of Corbyn among the very groups that we are routinely told are fanatical Corbynista­s and Johnson-haters. In the latest Yougov poll, women, 18 to 24-year-olds and Londoners all strongly prefer Johnson over Corbyn.

All of this points to the massive disconnect between the insular world of Twitter and much of the commentari­at, and the world that is inhabited by ordinary voters.

Johnson is still routinely underestim­ated. The chattering classes said that he would never be able to revise May’s failed Withdrawal Agreement. But he did. Many said that Johnson would be unable to remove the backstop from the Withdrawal Agreement. But he did.

And many said that he would never be able to rally his own party around a revised deal. But he has done exactly that. If Johnson continues to enjoy these kinds of numbers in the polls, then his premiershi­p will be transforme­d.

Remain ers who yesterday cheered the passing of the Letwin Amendment, which requires yet another delay to Brexit, should look at the bigger picture.

The more they obstruct Johnson, the more likely it us that his premiershi­p will be transforme­d from a brief footnote into a major chapter in Britain’s post-War political history.

Blue-collar Britain likes what it hears

 ??  ?? BROAD APPEAL: From left, Boris Johnson poses for selfies with members of the public in Birmingham, West Midlands Police officers and shipyard workers on the Isle of Wight
BROAD APPEAL: From left, Boris Johnson poses for selfies with members of the public in Birmingham, West Midlands Police officers and shipyard workers on the Isle of Wight
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