The Scotsman

Deal making in rude health despite fears over economy

● Major survey of 50 business bosses by Burness Paull ● Majority of firms to pump cash into new technologi­es

- By SCOTT REID

Corporate deal activity in Scotland remains buoyant but the setting of a date for a second independen­ce referendum is likely to lead to a lull, according to a new report published today.

The survey of 50 leading figures from across corporate Scotland, conducted by law firm Burness Paull, provides some insight into what can be expected in terms of deals and investment in the next 12 to 24 months.

Among the key findings was a clear message from Scottish businesses that they would not let political or economic uncertaint­y define them or their activities. Instead, there is likely to be “more diversity” in deal making and funding.

Where the major banks once dominated, growth and acquisitio­n finance is set to come from private equity, venture capital, business angels or growth capital providers, according to the study, entitled “Corporate Scotland: Deal-making trends”.

Survey respondent­s cited that setting a date for indyref2 will likely lead to a pause in investment activity across some sectors, until the outcome of the vote is known. However, business leaders were less concerned about Brexit as many Scottish companies are already “actively engaging” with clients out with the European Union.

Despite the uncertain backdrop, investment in technology is forecast to increase for most if not all businesses over the next two years, with cloud, big data and digital payments the main areas of interest.

Peter Lawson, head of corporate at Burness Paull, said: “The resilience and positive attitude of Scotland’s business leaders, matched with robust and well designed strategies, will continue to drive dealmaking in the next 12 to 24 months.

“Our survey’s results indicate that exit activity will continue to rise – with buyer interest expected to come from overseas, trade or private equity. “Overseas investment into Scotland in particular, will almost certainly increase with Scottish trophy assets inviting interest from internatio­nal businesses.”

He added: “Leaving to one side uncontroll­able political factors, ‘Corporate Scotland’ will not rest on its laurels and wait for opportunit­ies to come along.

“We believe it will take its well-earned confidence and, with its vision, dynamism and dogged determinat­ion, create the opportunit­ies that will continue to generate healthy levels of deal activity.”

Burness Paull employs 500 people, including 60 partners. Bookmaker Ladbrokes has revealed bottom-line losses of more than £200 million after it was hit by the costs of its merger with Coral, but said it was ramping up savings targets from the deal. Ladbrokes Coral said one-off costs of the £2.3 billion merger completed last November pushed it into the red by £213.3m in 2016, against pre-tax losses of £46.5m in 2015. Boss Jim Mullen insisted the firm had enjoyed a “very successful start” since the deal and outlined more savings.

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