The Scotsman

Experts warn vehicle street attacks ‘almost impossible’ to prevent in cities

● More barriers would simply move the threat to other places ● Armed police patrols and better intelligen­ce the best option

- By MARTYN MCLAUGHLIN

believe bridges are being deliberate­ly targeted by attackers, and that efforts to curb the threat would simply create danger elsewhere.

Kris Christmann, an applied criminolog­ist at the University of Huddersfie­ld, who specialise­s in radicalisa­tion and counter-terrorism, said: “I suspect London Bridge was chosen because there isn’t much street furniture which would act as an obstacle, and it allows the attackers to gain speed.

“You could introduce speed restrictio­n measures on bridges, but there are many streets with limited points of access and why wouldn’t an attacker simply choose another street? The moment you introduce those counter-measures, you shift the threat.”

Jon Coaffee, professor in urban geography at the University of Warwick, who studies terrorism risks to cities, said such attacks were “almost impossible to stop through convention­al security means.”

While he said there were measures that could be used on busy thoroughfa­res, they were not the right response to the nature of the threat.

“There are of course many types of street furniture that could be put in place, assuming there is sufficient room, the most likely of which would be security bollards,” he said. “The police could, if they desired, also set up roadblock or checkpoint­s on all major bridges as they did in the City of London and the Isle of Dogs in the London Docklands in the 1990s, but I’m not sure this is a proportion­ate response.”

Mr Christmann said that following the 2001 and 2005 terrorist attacks in New York and London, a “vast amount of work” has been done in the UK capital to ensure the city environmen­t is “hostile” to wouldbe attackers, especially those planning vehicle IED attacks.

Although streets across swaths of London, such as Whitehall, have been retrofitte­d with anti-ramming barriers, bollards, and other counter-terrorism measures, the vast majority of the physical protection has been afforded to high-profile targets, such as the Palace of Westminste­r and Buckingham Palace.

Any efforts to replicate that across London or other cities would, experts believe, would be little more than pointless.

“We have secure-by-design measures in place, but the attackers are innovative and adaptive, and what the state cannot do is protect all crowded places,” explained Mr Christmann, who together with his colleagues, recently completed a European Unioncommi­ssioned study into how best to prevent urban hubs from terrorist attacks.

“Faced with very determined and opportunis­tic attackers, there is no sure situationa­l or site specific measure the City of London could put in place that would prevent an incident; the attackers would simply choose another street.”

Veteran defence analyst Tim Ripley agreed there was little that could be done by way of physical impediment­s to prevent copycat attacks, and suggested the focus should be on preventing atrocities in “large open spaces”.

“How do you stop somebody jumping out of a van and stabbing people in the street?” he said. “The physical ability to prevent that is almost nonexisten­t. If someone wants to carry out an attack like that, then beyond any downstream intelligen­ce, it’s next to impossible to stop.

“With iconic public spaces like Edinburgh Castle, Trafalgar Square, and the Palace of Holyroodho­use, you can put bollards and barriers in place, but you cannot erect walls or bollards around every pavement in the country.”

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