The Scotsman

Against the grain

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With world grain production breaking all-time records yet again this year it is worth recalling the Malthusian disasters predicted by that irrepressi­ble doomster Paul Ehrlich. Writing in his comfortabl­e office in California’s Stanford University he produced The Population Bomb in 1968, consigning hundreds of millions to starvation in the next decade.

That such a prediction now seems absurd was down to the agronomist Norman Borlaug, who was out in the Third World creating his Green Revolution.

Mexico had already become a net wheat exporter, the Philippine­s became a rice exporter in 1968 and by 1970 India and Pakistan had doubled their wheat production and become net exporters.

Famine isn’t caused by overpopula­tionasehrl­ichclaimed. It’s not even the necessary consequenc­e of drought. Political unrest creates famine.

The other great factors in this happy outcome have been the genetic modificati­on of plants and, to the annoyance of misanthrop­ic greens everywhere, global warming and the increase in growth-boosting CO2. (REV DR) JOHN CAMERON

Howard Place,st Andrews

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