The Scotsman

Sea level mystery

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I was intrigued by a Scotsman article earlier this year, according to which ‘meteorolog­ists’ have predicted that sea levels around the Firth of Clyde will rise 47 cm (or 470mm) by 2080, driven by climate change and this apparently forms the basis for a study by Scottish Natural Heritage.

At present satellite measuremen­ts conducted by University of Colorado show an annual increase of 3.2mm without showing any accelerati­on.

Over 53 years this amounts to 150mm or a third of the prediction. NOAA tide gauges world wide are showing around 1.8mm p.a. on average (without accelerati­on), but there are fluctuatio­ns between locations due to geo-

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