The Scotsman

Indyassump­tions

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Those who believe Brexit will inevitably lead to Scottish independen­ce make three big assumption­s.

Firstly, the likely compromise deal with the EU will cause consternat­ion, rather than simple relief, which is

arguably the likelier reaction.

Second, Scotland would need to more widely embrace the SNP’S negative grievanced­riven attitude towards the rest of the UK, although at present opinion polls suggest the majority are unmoved.

Thirdly, the economic case

needs to add up, whereas the latest Growth Commission attempt simply replaces previous unrealisti­c oil revenues with equally unrealisti­c growth forecasts, justified on very selective examples of better performing economies, throwing in a decade of austerity for good measure.

Just now Nicola Sturgeon likely knows the majority valuetheuk­morethanth­eeu, and that an honest economic case for an independen­t Scotland has to contemplat­e considerab­le pain and uncertaint­y before any gain.

If so, why does she not put off any talk of a second referendum until after the next Holyrood elections in 2021, or must her party always come before our country?

KEITH HOWELL West Linton, Peeblesshi­re

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