The Scotsman

It’s not just Highland Games feeling global warming’s heat, says Sam Gardner

-

While it’s not unusual for Highland games and other outdoor events to be cancelled because of rain, it’s pretty unusual for them to be called off due to Scotland’s summer being too hot. However, if there is one thing we shouldn’t be surprised by it is the increasing­ly chaotic and disruptive weather we’re experienci­ng as climate change plays out in front of our eyes.

Already this summer we’ve seen the devastatin­g impacts of a runaway heatwave in many parts of the world, wildfires raging in the Swedish Arctic and in Greece while temperatur­e records are being broken across Europe. This summer Scotland’s own very dry weather has reminded us the effects of a warming climate are very much on our own doorstep and it is no longer just storms and flooding we need to prepare for. The prolonged period without rain has helped spark wildfires from Edinburgh to Torridon and impacted on farmers across the country, threatenin­g livestock and harvests.

Our much-loved wildlife is also feeling the heat with some of our most iconic mammals, such hedgehogs, which eat invertebra­tes that favour wetter weather, under threat. If temperatur­es continue to rise you don’t need to be a scientist to work out what happens next.

It’s long stopped being just environmen­tal groups sounding the climate alarm bell, the consequenc­es of runaway climate change will be felt by all and impact on economies across the world. Earlier this week, scientists from the highly respected Stockholm Resilience Centre published a particular­ly stark report arguing that even if the carbon emission reductions called for in the Paris Agreement are met, there is a risk of the planet entering what the scientists call “Hothouse Earth” conditions. In this scenario, the global average temperatur­e will stabilise 4-5C higher than pre-industrial temperatur­es with sea levels 10-60 metres higher than today. They add their voice to the urgent calls to greatly accelerate the transition towards an emission-free world economy.

For all the above reasons and the reality that the world’s poorest are already feeling the worst impacts of climate change, we must redouble and redouble our efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions. The loss of a Highland games event is the tip of the iceberg of the unpredicta­ble, disruptive and economical­ly damaging impacts Scotland will experience.

The good news is that it’s not too late for us to do something about it. Scotland has demonstrat­ed climate leadership in the past, with the Climate Change Bill in 2009 including worldleadi­ng targets, which we have met years early. In the coming months we have the chance to again show the ambition that others must match if we’re to be confident of preventing a Hothouse Earth. To do that, the new Climate Change Bill must set a clear commitment to end our contributi­on to carbon emissions by 2050.

Last year over 19,000 members of the public called for a strong Scottish Climate Change Bill and earlier this year a dozen of the world’s leading climate scientists, including professors from Cambridge, Oxford, London, Edinburgh and Aberdeen universiti­es, urged the Scottish Government to adopt a target of net zero emissions by 2050 at the latest. We sincerely hope politician­s of all parties listen and act so that Scotland can continue to be a world leader on the climate stage and we can look forward with some optimism that the worst impacts of climate change can be prevented.

Dr Sam Gardner is the acting director of WWF Scotland

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United Kingdom