The Scotsman

Reduce risk by reading trends

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The world is changing, offering both risk and opportunit­y for businesses in every industry. However, those that do not engage with key trends correctly are more likely to pay the price than reap a reward.

From climate change and new technology to changing employment practices and energy costs, businesses of every size are affected by external factors.

At WSP we’ve been assessing key trends for some time, borne out of our responsibi­lity to evaluate and help the public and private sectors prepare for the opportunit­ies and threats of their specific industry, location or structures.

We noticed that traditiona­lly accepted models are no longer safe to assume. For example, the Met Office predicts winter rainfall in Scotland will rise 10 to 35 per cent, while summer rainfall will decrease by 25 to 50 per cent. This affects the way infrastruc­ture performs, meaning that road surface lifespans will be different from what is traditiona­lly expected. Changing weather patterns are revealing a much-altered future, with significan­t consequenc­es for project design and management.

These observatio­ns inspired Future Ready, an internally developed innovation programme offering a long-term forecast of factors likely to affect a project. Our worldwide intelligen­ce network analyses and translates key trends to help cities, communitie­s and clients take practical actions to prepare for the future. It enables us to design for the long and short term, “future proofing” our solutions against urbanisati­on, weather changes and an increasing­ly connected world.

In Scotland, we help whisky distillers assess future demand for their product by judging how climate change, migration and technology will affect everything from water sources and risks to barley growth. As it can take 25 years to produce a single malt, this industry is already comfortabl­e with taking the long view, but the additional data we provide allows them to plan and adapt their business operations with greater clarity than ever before.

Another of our projects used data and innovation­s in electricit­y and road maintenanc­e to aid the design of an electric car charging infrastruc­ture which is able to expand with demand and cope with challenges, like increased rain or snowfall.

With Scotland adopting electric vehicles twice as fast as the rest of the UK, and the Scottish Government intending to encourage this through legislatio­n and infrastruc­ture, our highways are set to change dramatical­ly. This will have knock-on effects for businesses along every route that can benefit from a future-oriented view.

Ultimately, business success in the future is determined by strategic intelligen­ce in the present. Miss the trend and the risk rises. However, read the trend correctly and you could enjoy untold rewards. Bruce Donaldson, operations director, transport and infrastruc­ture at WSP.

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