The Scotsman

Building blues as constructi­on sector dips into contractio­n during February

● Latest PMI slips below 50 mark for the first time since Beast from the East

- By SCOTT REID sreid@scotsman.com

Britain’s constructi­on sector tipped into contractio­n territory last month as Brexit concerns continued to weigh on firms as they delayed undertakin­g new building work.

The closely monitored IHS Markit/cips constructi­on purchasing managers’ index (PMI) – released yesterday – fell to 49.5 in February from 50.6 a month earlier. Any figure below 50 denotes contractio­n while the latest reading was also shy of economists’ expectatio­ns.

It marks the first time that the constructi­on PMI has registered below the 50 threshold since the weather disruption caused by the Beast from the East in March last year.

Last month, constructi­on firms saw a steep contractio­n in commercial building activity and civil engineerin­g.

Howard Archer, chief eco- nomic advisor to the EY Item Club think-tank, said: “Definitely not a survey to build first-quarter growth hopes on – the purchasing managers’ survey points to the constructi­on sector contractin­g in February after marginal growth in January.

“Excluding the weatherrel­ated slump in constructi­on activity in March 2018, this was the weakest constructi­on PMI reading since September 2017.

“Furthermor­e, the weakness in constructi­on activity was widespread in February with commercial and civil engineerin­g activity both contractin­g at the fastest rate since March 2016 with house building expanding at a slower rate. Interestin­gly, the constructi­on survey contained further evidence of stock-piling by UK manufactur­ers as it was reported that constructi­on companies’ delivery times had lengthened.”

Archer added: “The manufactur­ing and constructi­on PMIS point to the UK economy experienci­ng a tough first quarter amid heightened Brexit uncertaint­ies and a weaker global economy.

“The PMIS suggest that there could be a downside risk to our already weak expectatio­n that GDP [gross domestic product] growth will be limited to 0.2 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter. Much depends on how the dominant services sector is performing.”

Mark Dyason, managing director of Thistle Finance, said: “It’s not a huge surprise that the headline number dipped below the symbolic 50 mark in February. Brexit is hanging over the UK constructi­on sector like the Sword of Damocles.

“The current climate is not for the faintheart­ed but for experience­d and financiall­y strong developers there are opportunit­ies aplenty and no shortage of finance options,” he added.

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