The Scotsman

Footsie poised for biggest reshuffle since finance crisis

● Shake-up set for middle of week with speculatio­n rife over firms likely to move

- By ANGUS HOWARTH businessde­sk@scotsman.com

Budget airline easyjet and cruise operator Carnival are likely to tumble out of the FTSE 100 after being battered by travel restrictio­ns during the coronaviru­s pandemic.

Despite a slight lift in value in recent weeks amid optimism about loosening restrictio­ns, both firms have more than halved in value over the past three months.

The travel operators could be joined on their way out on Wednesday by aerospace parts firm Meggitt and Scottish Gas and British Gas owner Centrica, in what could be the biggest reshuffle since the 2008 financial crisis.

Helal Miah, investment research analyst at the Share Centre, said: “This reshuffle looks set to be one of the biggest in many years. We expect a minimum of four in, four out, but, depending on market moves, we could see more.”

He said the “clearest candidate” to slip from the top index is Princess Cruises owner Carnival, which has seen shares dive nearly 60 per cent since the crisis hit Europe as travellers were left stranded on quarantine­d ships for weeks.

Further cruises have been halted and bookings have dried up, meaning its market capitalisa­tion has continued to slide despite raising more funds to support the business.

The second most likely casualty is easyjet, which only returned to the index in December 2019. Similarly to Carnival, sentiment remains low as revenues continue to dwindle on the back of mass cancellati­ons.

Centrica trades in an area less affected by the virus but the firm has hovered perilously close to relegation recently amid a tough environmen­t for energy providers.

Meggitt entered the FTSE 100 last year but is another firm which has been heavily impacted by travel restrictio­ns as aerospace manufactur­ers have seen production slow as a result.

Analysts have said ITV and

Pearson are also at risk of leaving the FTSE 100. Meanwhile Avast, Homeserve, Ladbrokes owner GVC and Convatec have been earmarked as the most likely firms to move into the index.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said B&Q owner Kingfisher, Foreign & Colonial Investment Trust, B&M European Value Retail and Direct Line are also “jockeying for position and sudden gains in their share prices could yet vault them into the UK’S premier index”.

He added: “If they make the leap, GVC and Convatec would be returning to the FTSE 100 for the first time since March 2019 and December 2017 respective­ly, while Homeserve and Avast would be making their debuts in the premier index.”

On Friday, B&M said it had seen a surge in DIY and gardening sales as locked-down households snapped up home improvemen­t tools and products.

Bosses revealed that, in the eight weeks to 23 May, like-forlike sales in stores, which have remained open, were up 22.7 per cent year-on-year.

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