The Scotsman

Calls to fire up the economy as lockdown sees Scots GDP drop by a fifth

- By SCOTT MACNAB Political Editor

The UK government has stepped up calls for Nicola Sturgeon to restart Scotland’s economy after the “terrible impact” of the coronaviru­s lockdown saw GDP shrink by a fifth.

The Scottish Secretary Alister Jack said Scots must get back to a “normal way of life” as the First Minister prepares to announce today that the country will move into phase 2 of lockdown exit.

This is likely to mean a firm date for shops to reopen and the green light for many factory workers to return.

It came after new monthly

GDP statistics were published yesterday by the Scottish Government, to help track the economic impact of the pandemic, showing that GDP is provisiona­lly estimated to have fallen by 18.9 per cent during April, after a fall of 5 per cent in March.

The official GDP statistics, also published yesterday, indicate a 2.5 per cent contractio­n between January and March – worse than the 2 per cent contractio­n recorded across the UK as a whole. The bleak picture for Scotland follows growth of 0.7 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2019. Compared with the same quarter last year, Scotland’s GDP has contracted by -2.3 per cent, compared with equivalent UK growth over the same period of -1.6 per cent.

“These figures confirm the terrible impact coronaviru­s has had on our economy,” Mr Jack said.

“The UK government has put in place unpreceden­ted measures to support people. Our furlough scheme, and support for the self-employed, has protected the incomes of almost 800,000 Scots – more than a quarter of the workforce. That’s been accompanie­d by an extra £3.8 billion of funding for the Scottish Government.

“Across the UK we will continue to prioritise public health. But now the Scottish ‘R value’ is holding below one, we must also start looking at how to open our economy safely. People need to get back carefully to a more normal way of life, and the Scottish Government should keep an open mind about the measures needed to get Scotland moving again.”

Andrew Mcrae, Federation of Small Business Scotland policy chair, backed calls to get the economy moving.

“Half of the country’s small business community closed their doors during this crisis which led to a big drop in economic output,” he said. “That’s why many in business desperatel­y want the First Minister to announce on Thursday an accelerate­d timetable for easing trading restrictio­ns.”

Ms Sturgeon’s will update Scots on her latest three weekly review of lockdown restrictio­ns later today, but has made it clear the country will move to stage 2 of lockdown exit.

Economy secretary Fiona Hyslop said: “The coronaviru­s pandemic is having an extremely serious impact on the economy right across the UK and – as these figures demonstrat­e – Scotland is no exception.

“Ever since the start of this crisis the Scottish Government has been working tirelessly to keep businesses afloat and ensure as many people as possible keep their jobs. So far this has included a tailored package of more than £2.3bn in business support.”

The grim figures emerged just a day after the latest employment statistics showed this had risen by 30,000 in Scotland and now stands at 127,000.

Labour Leader Richard Leonard said the GDP statistics show the “enormous damage” done to Scotland’s economy by the coronaviru­s pandemic.

“We are now deep into uncharted economic waters with the prospect of mass unemployme­nt looming,” he added. If action is not taken by both the UK and Scottish government with a clear plan to get the economy back on course, then we may be left with an economy in tatters.”

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