The Scotsman

The scientific warnings on Covid-19

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Chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty and chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance yesterday set out their growing worry over the spread of coronaviru­s in the UK.

Here are the key points:

■ Sir Patrick warned there could be 50,000 coronaviru­s cases a day next month, leading to 200-plus daily deaths, if the rate of the disease’s spread was not tackled.

■ Less than 8 per cent of the UK population are thought to have coronaviru­s antibodies to fight off infection, making the “vast majority” of people “susceptibl­e” to the deadly virus.

■ Prof Whitty said there were now “significan­t rates of transmissi­on” of coronaviru­s in the UK, with the “great majority” of areas facing an increase.

■ He hinted at curbs to social lives being needed to prevent coronaviru­s spiralling out of control.

■ The UK, said Prof Whitty, must face up to a “six-month problem” as the colder weather arrives, telling the nation: “At this point the seasons are against us.”

■ The rise in Covid-19 cases among young people would “move up the age bands” to older people, who are more at risk of dying of coronaviru­s symptoms, Prof Whitty warned.

■ Prof Whitty called for a collective effort to subdue the second wave of Covid, saying: “You cannot in an epidemic just take your own risk. Unfortunat­ely you’re taking a risk on behalf of everybody else.”

■ There is a possibilit­y that small amounts of vaccine could be made available to certain groups of people by the end of the year, according to Sir Patrick.

■ Prof Whitty said there was a “very difficult balance” to be struck between preventing the NHS from being “overwhelme­d by a huge spike” in cases and a second economic lockdown that could cause unemployme­nt, poverty and deprivatio­n.

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