Down to the wire: Six Nations final-round permutations ahead of Super Saturday
The 2020 Guinness Six Nations Championship will reach its climax on Saturday – 237 days after it was halted due to the coronavirus pandemic.
With three games remaining on so-called ‘Super Saturday’, it promises to be a thrilling title race between Ireland, England and France.
Here, we look at how things might pan out, with Wales entertaining Scotland, England visiting Italy and Ireland travelling to France.
IRELAND
The Irish have control of the title’s destiny. If they beat France in Paris on Saturday night with a bonus point, Andy Farrell’s team will be crowned champions. Victory without a four-try bonus might still be enough, even if – as expected –England claim five points against Italy in Rome. Tied teams are separated by points difference, and Ireland are currently 23 points better off than England in that department. Ireland will also know exactly what they have to do, as the Stade de France encounter is Saturday’s final game.
ENGLAND
Eddie Jones’ men need to see off Italy at the Stadio Olimpico in emphatic fashion. Realistically, England could require something like a 40-point winning margin or more, yet that is something they have managed on six previous occasions in the championship’s 20-year history. All England can do is complete their part of the job then wait while France and Ireland get to grips with each other in Paris.
FRANCE
France have been revitalised under new head coach Fabien Galthie, beating England and then Wales in Cardiff as they claimed three wins from their first four starts of this season’s Six Nations. Losing to S cotl a n d l a s t t i me o u t , t h o u g h , d e n t e d t h e i r t i t l e c h a n c e s . They warmed up for Ireland by easily seeing off Wales in a friendly last weekend, but they will effectively need a comprehensive bonus point win to deny England, should Les Bleus topple Ireland.
SCOTLAND
Scotland’s distant title hopes d i s a p p e a r e d wi t h I r e l a n d ’s bonus point victor y over Italy four days ago, but they travel to Llanelli for an appointment with Wales in confident mood. They go into the match having easily seen off Georgia in a friendly last week, and will be bolstered by the return of Exeter Chiefs’ trophy doublewinning stars Stuar t Hog g, Jonny Gray and Sam Skinner. Scotland have not claimed an away win against Wales for 18 years, but they have ever y chance this weekend.
WALES
Wales, Grand Slam champions last year in Warren Gatland’s final season at the helm, suffered a four th successive defeat when they went down 38-21 to friendly opp onents France four days ago. It is their worst results sequence since 2016, and while they cannot challenge for the Six Nations title, a win is essential on Saturday to halt losing momentum under head coach Wayne Pivac.
ITALY
Italy are resigned to finishing bottom of the Six Nations for a 15th time, and they continue to make little headway against their Six Nations rivals. They have conceded 144 points and 20 tries in this season’s tournament, and face a Herculean task in preventing a landslide defeat when England arrive in Rome this weekend. With every sizeable Italy loss, so the Six Nations promotion and rele - gation debate screams louder at them.