New polling reveals how Scotland would vote in US 2020 election
New polling has revealed how Scotland would vote if it had a say in the United States presidential election.
The battle between incumbent president Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Bid en will come to a close tonight, with the result of the election expected in the early hours of Wednesday morning, UK time.
However, new polling from H an bury Strategy for Politico shows that not one of Scotland’s constituencies would vote for Mr Trump.
East Dunbartonshire and Edinburgh South are Scotland’s most heavily Bid en-supporting areas, and are also top of the Biden-supp or ting list across the whole of the UK.
In bad news for President Trump’ s personal links to Scotland, both constituencies home to his two golf courses in Turnberr y and Balmedie would vote strongly against him.
Those living in the constituency of Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock, which includes Turnberry, would vote for Mr Biden 78.7 per cent of the time, with Mr Trump receiving 21.3 per cent of the vote.
In Gordon, home to his golf course in Aberdeenshire, people would vote for Mr Trump just 21.9 per cent of the time, with Mr Biden receiving support of 78.1 per cent of the population.
The strongest Trump sup - port is found further north in the constituency of Banff and Buchan, which would see Mr Trump’s vote share rise to 28 per cent.
Moray and Angus would also see relatively high support for Mr Trump, with voters choosing the president 24.9 and 23.6 per cent of the time.
The incumbent president would find more trouble gaining support in the Central Belt and parts of the Highlands and Islands.
East Dunbartonshire, the most pro-biden part of the UK, and Edinburgh South, the second most pro-biden constituency, would provide the Democratic nominee with 85.3 per cent and 83.7 per cent of the vote respectively.
Edinburgh West (83 per cent in support of Biden), Fife North East (82 p er cent) and Renfrewshire East (82 p er cent) are also amongst the highest support for Biden in the UK.
Unfortunately for Mr Trump, even his ancestral home of the Western Isles would rather see Joe Biden in the White House following the election, with just 18.8 per cent of islanders supporting the president.
Overall, three-quarters of voters in the UK, 76.2 per cent, would vote for Joe Biden if they could participate in the US presidential election. And the older the voter, the lower the support for Donald Trump, while fewer than one in five women would vote for the current US president and two-thirds of voters who backed the Conservatives in 2019 would back Bid en. Labour’s Ian Murray, MP for Edinburgh South, the second most pro-Bid en constituency in the UK, said Trump tends to attract those who feel disenfranchised by promising very simple answers to difficult questions. Mr Murray said: "The UK as a country rejects all that kind of divisive nationalism that Trump em bodies—his racism, misogyny, his mocking of disabled people, the incompetence."