The Scotsman

Sturgeon sold voters on an independen­ce fairy tale that is already going wrong Kenny Macaskill

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Sometimes life just doesn’t go according to script. The Euro 2020 tournament was one such event where, like many, I thought England were destined to win. More so when it went to penalties and it seemed as if ghosts would be put to rest.

But it wasn’t to be, and I feel sorry for England manager Gareth Southgate and his team. He is as admirable as they are formidable.

But I’ve no sympathy for those in the SNP who predicted a referendum was sure to follow their win in May’s elections. Not only that, but that when it was held, victory would be all but guaranteed.

There was good reason to feel it might just have been England’s year on the football pitch, there was none to believe that Boris Johnson would concede a Section 30 order to allow an independen­ce referendum. Bad luck and nerves cost England, but there are no excuses for the SNP.

Far from blinking, Johnson has been emboldened. The Tories didn’t do well in Scotland, but he doesn’t care.

The vaccinatio­n roll-out and a football feel-good factor in England mean even the calamitous restrictio­n-lifting won’t unduly perturb him. He’s ensconced and knows it. With a safe majority and a weak opposition, he’s just going to ignore SNP pleas and carry on regardless. Scotland has much to fear.

None of that was in the Team SNP script. Instead he was to baulk when the votes piled up for the SNP – and pile up they did, but to no avail. Scotland is no closer to a second referendum now than it was before the election. It was all a ruse, or simply foolishnes­s and naivety. Probably both.

But what does that do for the second strand of the script which was that, after the referendum was dutifully ceded, it would be called in due course when the pandemic had passed?

Then a public so beholden to the Good Princess whose leadership had saved the people from the nasty virus and the incompeten­ce of the Big Bad Overlord would dutifully do as she bid.

Everyone would then live happily ever after in the new land. All that was needed was to “wheesht”, vote accordingl­y and it would all come true. It was a fairy story.

Instead we’re now in a place where we’ve no Section 30 order or sign of a referendum and awaiting the pandemic recovery is fanciful as Boris Johnson pursues a strategy of “let it rip”. Far from a grateful population, Nicola Sturgeon is going to face growing frustratio­n and anger, as there can’t be a recovery without independen­ce.

To date she’s been almost Teflon where her coronaviru­s presentati­onal skills have absolved her of blame.

But those days are past and attempts to achieve the eliminatio­n of Covid now seem a lifetime ago.

She’ll offer Johnson Lite but it will still come at a cost.

The return of exams, school and university, never mind a care home inquiry, is still to come and is fraught with difficulti­es, to say the least.

The reality is that a referendum has still to be won, the cause needs separating from the Scottish Government and this must happen soon.

Kenny Macaskill is the Alba Party MP for East Lothian

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