The Scotsman

Ukraine can’t win, so it’s time for realpoliti­k

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John F Kennedy said: “Nuclear Powers must avert those confrontat­ions which bring an adversary to a choice of either a humiliatin­g retreat or a nuclear war.”

Appeasemen­t has been a dirty word since 1938, but if we are to avert World War III, the time has come for realpoliti­k. It is difficult to ask Ukraine to make concession­s after witnessing scenes of genocide, but the reality is that Ukraine cannot win the war against superior Russian forces.

It is evident that President Putin has badly miscalcula­ted not least because 21st century drones can destroy 20th century tanks, but how will he react to the huge unexpected losses? While the tabloids, irresponsi­bly, speculate Putin will declare the Third World War on 9 May, experts do think Russia will fully mobilise and extend conscripti­on. He boasts that Russia has got the sarmat nuclear weapon with multiple warheads and claims they have developed frightenin­g hypersonic weapons. Certainly Russia does have thermobari­c bunker-busting weapons like the ones the USA used in Afghanista­n.

Against that background, it is inappropri­ate for Liz Truss and Ben Wallace to make wild remarks about returning Ukraine to its 2014 status (Scotsman, 29 April). Equally irrelevant were Anthony Blinken and Lloyd Austin in the United States openly saying they want Russia's military capability to be reduced. To say sanctions should remain after the war ends is ridiculous and hardly an incentive.

Reports elsewhere suggest that Russia is amenable now to concession­s at the Antalya peace talks. In a fortnight the people of Donetsk and Luhansk will vote to join Russia. Were that to be accepted and, provided Ukraine does not join the EU or Nato; there is a prospect of peace. The alternativ­e is an endless war of attrition with more modern military supplies going from Nato to Ukraine.

JOHN V LLOYD Inverkeith­ing, Fife

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