City have the upper hand in a fascinating race to the top
Manchester City took the initiative in the Premier League title race by hammering Luton on Saturday before rivals Liverpool and Arsenal both lost on Sunday.
All three teams have games remaining and it’s going to be a fascinating run-in. City are currently top on 73 points with a goal difference of 44, while Arsenal (GD 49) and Liverpool (GD 41) are both locked on 71 points.
City’s two-point lead looks slender but the momentum swing felt significant as they jumped from third to first.
The manner of their 5-1 win also sounded a warning, while Arsenal were outplayed in the second half as they lost 2-0 to Aston Villa and Liverpool missed a hatful of chances as Crystal Palace held on for a 1-0 upset.
Commitments in other competitions mean City do not
six play their next league game until April 25 at Brighton, by which point their rivals will both have played twice more knowing they need wins to put the pressure back on Pep Guardiola's side.
Arsenal have the first chance to get back on track, away at Wolves late on Saturday evening, with Liverpool travelling to Fulham the following day. Both are back in action three days on with eye-catching fixtures, Arsenal hosting Chelsea a week today before the Wednesday brings a Merseyside derby at Everton's Goodison Park, with City playing on the Thursday.
City's trip to Tottenham has been put back to May 14, the Tuesday before the season ends on Sunday, May 19, meaning from this weekend on they will have a game in hand.
Of course, another reason for City's psychological edge is their title-winning pedigree under Guardiola. They have finished first in five of the last six seasons, and second to Liverpool in the other, and have
been noted for their strong finishes in that time.
Of the final 18 points available to them in each of the last six seasons, City have won 16, 18, 15, 12, 16 and 13 - an average of 15 which, if repeated this term, would require either Liverpool or Arsenal to win all six of their remaining games.
Arsenal, under Guardiola's former assistant Mikel Arteta, put themselves in prime position last season but faltered by taking only 12 points from their
final nine games, and nine in the last six including successive defeats by Brighton and Nottingham Forest, as they finished five points behind City.
Liverpool have previous achievements of their own to fall back on after winning the 2019-20 title, the only interruption to City's run of dominance.
They had done their work earlier that season, though they still won four and drew one of their last six to ease home with an 18-point winning
margin. The previous season they won their last nine games in succession to push City all the way, finishing a point behind with their total of 97 the highest ever for a team who did not win the title.
They have taken 16, 16 and 14 points from their last six games in the three seasons since their title win but know they will need something similar, allied to a City slip-up, if they are to provide a glorious finale to Jurgen Klopp's reign.