The Scottish Mail on Sunday

You think this is all about money? It’s about Brexit

- By IAN BIRRELL

WHEN David Cameron told me he was running for the Tory Party leadership, I replied that it would be difficult for an Old Etonian to win. Having seen Douglas Hurd’s dismal earlier attempt, I thought a modern electorate would not support someone from such an obviously elitist background.

How wrong I was. For the things I liked about Cameron – his affability, his moderation, his modernity – were more important to voters than his background. People were prepared to judge him on policies rather than a posh accent and prosperous background. When Labour tried to play the class card, it backfired.

He has remained more popular than his party while persistent­ly confoundin­g doubters, with two Election and two referendum successes. But now that moneyed heritage leaves him wobbling after his most serious personal crisis since taking office – and it could not have come at a worse time.

Ordinary taxpayers are right to be infuriated by the sleazy antics of super-rich tax-dodgers, aided by a greedy army of pin-striped pimps. Empty talk of transparen­cy is no longer enough.

But among the blizzard of accusation­s, Cameron’s worst crime is one of crisis mismanagem­ent.

Who knows if this was due to being blindsided by Brexit, bungled political machinatio­ns, or an understand­able desire to protect his family?

Regardless, the damage is done as politician­s lose one more slice of privacy, for we should have no doubt they will all now be pressured to release tax details.

This may deter some good candidates but is a sign of changing times in the digital age.

More immediatel­y, Downing Street’s bumbling response last week has inflamed the end-of-era mood afoot in Westminste­r that seems to be distractin­g good government. Already much of the daily political grind is seen through the prism of prime ministeria­l succession. Now a leader displaying deft political footwork for a decade has stumbled badly – and, to his credit, shouldered blame personally.

His actions played into the idea prevalent across the West that we are governed by out-of-touch elites who treat politics as a branch of public relations. This is corrosive for Cameron, coming just over ten weeks before his most important tussle with the electorate – the EU referendum.

Now his approval rating has slipped below that of Jeremy Corbyn. This is astonishin­g.

Yet complacent Tories, looking increasing­ly fractious as festering scabs are unpicked, spend their time bickering over Europe.

The consequenc­es could be severe since the future of Britain’s place in Europe is at stake. A referendum in Holland last week showed the depth of hostility to Brussels and underlined the lack of trust in modern leaders.

If Cameron loses the vote in June, he will be forced to leave Downing Street, a glorious political career ending in humiliatin­g and partially self-inflicted defeat. The heir to Blair might effectivel­y have been defeated as the heir to Blairmore, his father’s trust.

Yet there is another narrative for this political escapologi­st.

It remains possible he will win the referendum, purge malcontent­s from his Cabinet, remake his party in his real image and leave on his own terms. But this vision of politics has become a little bit more blurred thanks to events 5,000 miles away in Panama.

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