The Scottish Mail on Sunday

Record house prices stop couples having 160,000 children

- By Michael Powell and Ned Donovan

SOARING house prices led to nearly 160,000 fewer British children being born over the past two decades, a study claims.

Researcher­s say couples are having smaller families than they would like because they are either stuck in rented accommodat­ion or cannot afford larger homes.

The shortage of affordable properties also means a generation of children may never know their grandparen­ts because women are waiting until they are much older to start a family.

The landmark study by the Adam Smith Institute think-tank warns that the falling birth rate in Britain could result in a ‘demographi­c time bomb’, with fewer workingage people paying taxes, while the numbers living beyond the age of 85 soars.

That would put the NHS and care services under severe strain and could also fuel greater demand for migrant workers in the UK – even after Brexit. Report author Andrew Sabisky said: ‘The housing crisis is wrecking the lives of the people of this country, preventing them from having the children they want to have.

‘This private tragedy will, in the long-run, entail massive knock-on costs to public finances.’

His report calls on Ministers to cut red tape and allow more housebuild­ing on green belt land.

It also argues that stamp duty should be scrapped to help elderly homeowners downsize from larger family homes without buyers suffering ‘a serious financial penalty’.

In Scotland, stamp duty has been replaced by the SNP’s Land and Building Transactio­ns Tax, which has been blamed for a housing market slowdown. Average house prices also almost tripled north of the Border between 1995 and 2016, rising from £53,143 to £141,142.

Meanwhile, between 1996 and 2014, there was a 1.3 per cent fall in the number of births in the UK, equating to 157,000 fewer children being born. The study, entitled Children Of When, suggests the tripling of house prices was to blame.

Mr Sabisky said a lack of adequate housing had a ‘substantia­l’ psychologi­cal impact on families. He added: ‘Shrinking family size means that the old increasing­ly cannot rely on their close family to care for them in their protracted dotage. Higher house prices mean higher deposits, and higher rents make deposits harder to save for.

‘In the ten years between 2004 and 2014, home ownership fell from 60 per cent to 35 per cent among 25- to 34-year-olds – the key childbeari­ng demographi­c. Money that would otherwise be spent on children must instead be redirected towards rent and deposit-saving. The property they are able to buy will often be too small to fit a large family. Even when young people are able to buy a property, the process of saving can often take up many years, pushing women towards older motherhood. It has a limiting effect on family size.’

Last year, Chancellor Philip Hammond announced that £3.7billion would be spent south of the Border to address the crisis, with the aim of building an additional 140,000 homes by 2020.

A spokesman for the Department for Communitie­s and Local Government said: ‘We set out a number of measures to increase and speed up house-building. Councils will have a new responsibi­lity to plan for the right number of homes. Thousands of new homes will be built for young buyers.’

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