Ukraine war could last years, Nato chief warns
FOUR months of brutal fighting in Ukraine appear to be straining the morale of troops on both sides, prompting desertions and rebellion against officers’ orders, British defence officials said.
It comes as Nato’s chief warned the war could drag on for “years”.
“Combat units from both sides are committed to intense combat in the Donbas and are likely experiencing variable morale,” the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said in its daily assessment of the war, which has been raging since February 24.
“Ukrainian forces have likely suffered desertions in recent weeks,” the assessment said, but added that “Russian morale highly likely remains especially troubled”.
It said “cases of whole Russian units refusing orders and armed stand-offs between officers and their troops continue to occur”. The MoD’s note said many Russian soldiers of all ranks “likely remain confused about the war’s objectives”.
In an interview published yesterday in the German weekly Bild am Sonntag, Nato Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said “nobody knows” how long the war could last.
“We need to be prepared for it to last for years,” he said. He also urged allies “not to weaken support for Ukraine, even if the costs are high, not only in terms of military aid, but also because of the increase in energy and food goods prices”.
In recent days, Gazprom, the Russian gas company, has reduced supplies to two major European clients – Germany and Italy. In Italy’s case, energy officials are expected to talk about the situation this week. The head of Italian energy giant ENI said on Saturday that, with additional gas purchased from other sources, Italy should make it through the winter, but he warned Italians that “restrictions” affecting gas use might be necessary.
Germany will limit the use of gas for electricity production amid concerns about possible shortages caused by a reduction in supplies from Russia, the country’s economy minister said yesterday.
Germany has been trying to fill its gas storage facilities to capacity ahead of the cold winter months. Economy minister Robert Habeck said Germany will try to compensate for the move by increasing the burning of coal, a more polluting fossil fuel.
“That’s bitter, but it’s simply necessary in this situation to lower gas usage,” he said. Mr Stoltenberg stressed, though, that “the costs of food and fuel are nothing compared with those paid daily by the Ukrainians on the front line”. He added that if Russia’s President Vladimir Putin should reach his objectives in Ukraine, as when he annexed Crimea in 2014, “we would have to pay an even greater price”.
The MoD said both Russia and Ukraine have continued to conduct heavy artillery bombardments on areas to the north, east and south of Sievierodonetsk, but with little change in the front line.
Luhansk governor Serhiy Haidai said via social media yesterday: “It is a very difficult situation in Sievierodonetsk, where the enemy in the middle of the city is conducting round-the-clock aerial reconnaissance with drones, adjusting fire, quickly adjusting to our changes.”
On Saturday, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky made a trip south from Kyiv to visit troops and hospital workers in the Mykolaiv and Odesa regions along the Black Sea. He handed out awards to dozens of people at every stop, shaking their hands and thanking them for their service.