Western Mail

‘Trump taking view that US power is military’

Internatio­nal Relations lecturer Dr Luca Trenta examines what he views as the problems with the Trump administra­tion’s conduct of counter-terrorism

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THE ever-present Russia scandal and the constant gaslightin­g, coming mostly from the White House, have been obscuring a serious, underlying problem with the Trump administra­tion’s conduct of counter-terrorism.

In the most recent example, when four US soldiers were killed in an ambush in Niger on October 4, the ensuing controvers­y mostly surrounded President Trump’s incompeten­t response to the families of the victims.

What was not discussed was the Trump administra­tion’s failure to provide a rationale as to why US soldiers were in Niger in the first place.

More problemati­cally, the administra­tion has, so far, failed to explain the strategic objectives of its counter-terrorism operations – including the one in Niger – to offer legal justificat­ion and public legitimati­on for its policies. And more worryingly still, this is not a new problem.

Since the start of his presidenti­al campaign, Trump has couched his philosophy of counter-terrorism in the most aggressive terms.

His promises on the campaign trail included to “bomb the s*** out of” the so-called Islamic State (IS) and, more controvers­ially, to “take out” the families and relatives of IS fighters and terrorists – a policy that would constitute a war crime.

But as with many other issues, candidate Trump refused to provide details or to delineate a coherent counter-terrorism strategy, suggesting that doing so would simply telegraph US intentions to the enemy.

In its first months in office, the Trump administra­tion adopted a tough counter-terrorism approach. One of Trump’s first speeches as president, at the CIA’s headquarte­rs, included the suggestion that the agency had been unnecessar­ily constraine­d in its conduct of counterter­rorism.

In several contexts, Trump’s policies simply continue and expand Barack Obama’s – but it’s the difference­s that are crucial.

Unlike his predecesso­r, Trump seems to take the very narrow view that US power is above all else military.

The president reportedly conceives of that power in strictly quantitati­ve terms, with nuclear weapons as its “apex”.

That may explain the administra­tion’s overuse of such “hard” power, and in its penchant for military spectacle – think of the use of the socalled mother of all bombs in Afghanista­n and the 59-missile strike on Syria.

Whereas the Obama administra­tion tried to broaden US policy in the Gulf and the Middle East beyond its traditiona­l narrow focus on Saudi and Israeli priorities, Trump publicly accepts Saudi Arabia’s view of terrorism and recently refused to recertify the Iran nuclear deal.

Those moves were welcomed in Riyadh and Tel Aviv, but antagonise­d and rattled other US allies.

All the while, Trump’s vitriolic rhetoric about Muslims in the US and his travel ban targeting majority Muslim countries have also weakened the US position in the Middle East.

Crucially, there’s the administra­tion’s decision to relax some Obamaera constraint­s on drone strikes and commando operations.

In its second term especially, the Obama administra­tion adopted policies to guarantee a more accountabl­e and structured approach to counter-terrorism.

These policies included the 2013 Presidenti­al Policy Guidelines for Approving Direct Action Against Terrorist Targets and a 2016 executive order meant to improve pre and post-strike assessment to reduce civilian casualties.

The Trump administra­tion seems to have rolled back these measures; the US is conducting more air strikes in Iraq and Syria and getting more involved in countries such as Yemen and Niger.

Civilian casualties are mounting in areas where the US has intervened.

And yet, having relaxed Obama’s rules, the Trump administra­tion has refused to publicly legitimate its counter-terrorism operations, and it has provided no strategic rationale for its use of force.

As I have argued elsewhere, the Obama administra­tion’s policies were part of an effort to publicly justify and explain its counter-terrorism operations, and to make the case that those policies were grounded (at least partially) in internatio­nal law.

Starting in 2011, administra­tion officials began making speeches to explain their efforts to keep counterter­rorism policy in line with internatio­nal law and to articulate the end game of the administra­tion’s strategy.

This coincided with a reduction in drone strikes and in casualties from counter-terrorist operations; an exhibit for those who identify the restrainin­g power of internatio­nal law. But unlike Obama, Trump has refused to discuss strategy, and the administra­tion has not discussed its legal rationale for use of force.

It’s not clear the administra­tion can distinguis­h between tactic and strategy: force is being used, but what is the endgame?

Along with the administra­tion’s cavalier attitude towards increased civilian casualties, this lack of a strategic rationale could erode support among foreign allies, and might well fuel terrorism and radicalisa­tion.

This poses serious problems. At home, the administra­tion is insufficie­ntly accountabl­e to the US public, still relying on measures passed after 9/11 – and abroad, the secretive use of force, the disregard for internatio­nal law and the acceptance of higher civilian casualties, set a dangerous example that other powers might be tempted to follow.

Dr Luca Trenta is lecturer in Internatio­nal Relations at Swansea University. This article first appeared on www.theconvers­ation.com

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