Western Mail

WIN, LOSE OR DRAW... WHAT TONIGHT’S RESULT WILL MEAN

- IAN MITCHELMOR­E Football writer ian.mitchelmor­e@walesonlin­e.co.uk

SWANSEA City have only two games remaining to secure their Premier League status.

Carlos Carvalhal’s side host Southampto­n and Stoke City at the Liberty Stadium in the final week of the 2017/18 campaign, with their destiny still firmly in their own hands.

But they go into their crunch games knowing that a host of sides around them are also scrapping for survival.

Here’s exactly how the relegation picture will look for the Swans after every potential scenario that could unfold against Mark Hughes’ side...

The current state of play ahead of Southampto­n clash

SWANSEA dropped into the relegation zone after Southampto­n claimed a 1-1 draw with Everton at Goodison Park on Saturday, although it could have been even worse for Carvalhal’s men had Tom Davies not struck an injury-time equaliser for the Toffees.

It means Swansea are in 18th ahead of their final two games with 33 points to their name – the same amount Southampto­n currently have.

Huddersfie­ld are not out of the woods yet either, despite claiming a brilliant 0-0 draw with champions Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

David Wagner’s men are 16th on 36 points – three more than both Swansea and Southampto­n – although they face Chelsea and Arsenal in their final two matches.

And despite their remarkable revival under caretaker boss Darren Moore, West Brom still need a miracle to remain in England’s top flight, with the Baggies currently occupying 19th spot with 31 points, although they have just one game left to play, against Crystal Palace.

If Swansea win against Southampto­n...

THE dream scenario. A victory against the Saints would would put Swansea in the box seat for survival going into their final-day clash with Stoke in south Wales.

They would leapfrog the Saints and Huddersfie­ld and move out of the bottom three with victory tonight and, crucially, they would go three points clear of Hughes’ side, and above the Terriers (who play Chelsea tomorrow) on goal difference.

It would all mean that the Swans would go into the final day knowing that a point against Stoke would be enough to clinch survival.

And they would even stay up if they were beaten by the Potters, as long as the Saints didn’t win against Manchester City at St Mary’s.

What if Swansea draw?

THIS is where things get more nervy. Both Swansea and Southampto­n would move on to 34 points, although Carvalhal’s men would remain in the drop zone as their goal difference of -26 is seven worse off than the Saints’ tally of -19.

It still wouldn’t be the doomsday scenario for Swansea given that Southampto­n face the tough task of battling it out with Pep Guardiola’s men on the final day.

But it would mean that Swansea would have to better the Saints’ result against the Citizens when they slug it out with alreadyrel­egated Stoke and/or beat the Potters and hope Huddersfie­ld don’t pick up more than a point from their last two games.

So, to summarise, if Southampto­n lost to Man City, Swansea would only need a draw with the Potters, while if the Saints claimed a point, Carvalhal’s side would need victory against Stoke to guarantee survival.

And if Hughes’ side did upset the odds by beating Manchester City, the Swans would have to win against Stoke and hope that Huddersfie­ld claim no more than a point from their final two matches against Chelsea and Arsenal.

And if Swansea lose...

WHILE this still wouldn’t be the end of things, it would certainly represent a crushing blow for the Swans as survival would be out of their hands.

Southampto­n would move up to 16th on 36 points, level with Huddersfie­ld, who they would surpass due to their superior goal difference. And Swansea would then have to beat Stoke to stand any chance of survival.

But if they managed to claim three points, there are two scenarios that could then save them, although the first is incredibly unlikely.

The Swans would have to beat Stoke and hope Southampto­n lose while they would also need to make up a nine-goal swing on the Saints at the very least, which basically means they would be relying on two slip-ups from Huddersfie­ld.

The Terriers currently have a goal difference of -29, three worse than Swansea. So, if the Swans lost to Southampto­n and then beat Stoke, Carvalhal’s men would need Huddersfie­ld to lose against both Chelsea and Arsenal to stay up.

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