Western Mail

What are the arguments for and against May’s Brexit deal?

Theresa May seems to have finally found a way to unite Remainers and Leavers – unfortunat­ely for her it is in opposition to her Brexit deal. Andrew Woodcock and David Williamson look at why the deal is so unpopular...

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THERESA May and her supporters say the Withdrawal Agreement, coupled with the Political Declaratio­n on future UK/EU relations, will:

■ Deliver on the result of the 2016 referendum by taking the UK out of the European Union;

■ End the right of free movement by EU citizens to live and work in the UK, allowing Britain to introduce a new skills-based immigratio­n system;

■ End the jurisdicti­on of the European Court of Justice in the UK;

■ Stop the annual payment of “vast” sums into EU budgets;

■ Take the UK out of the Common Agricultur­al Policy and Common Fisheries Policy;

■ Pave the way for the creation of a new UK/EU free trade area with no tariffs, fees, charges, quantitati­ve restrictio­ns or rules-of-origin checks;

■ Preserve close relations with the EU on security, crime and terrorism;

■ Protect the integrity of the UK by ensuring there is no customs barrier between Northern Ireland and Great Britain;

■ Honour the Good Friday Agreement by ensuring there is no hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic;

■ End uncertaint­y about the future and reassure business that there will be no abrupt “cliff-edge” transition to new trading arrangemen­ts by providing a 21-month transition period for them to prepare;

■ Allow the extension of the period by up to two years to allow a trade deal to be completed, without the need to trigger “backstop” arrangemen­ts to keep the Irish border open;

■ Allow the UK to negotiate trade deals with countries elsewhere in the world, to come into effect at the end of the transition period; and

■ Protect the rights of UK citizens living in the EU and Europeans in Britain. from a variety of angles. Pro-Brexit critics of say it will:

■ Trap the UK in a customs union which Britain can only escape with the consent of the EU;

■ Prevent new trade deals with countries like the US, China or Australia from coming into effect until at least 2021 – or 2023 if the transition period is extended, or even later if the backstop is then invoked;

■ Allow the European Court of Justice continued influence over the UK, as the final arbiter for the interpreta­tion of EU law in disputes;

■ Require the UK to hand over £39bn in “divorce” payments with no guarantee of a free trade deal in the future;

■ Force the UK to accept Brussels rules and regulation­s until the end of the transition period, without having any say in them;

■ Commit the UK to aligning with EU standards and rules in the long term;

■ Leave open the possibilit­y of access to fish in UK waters for European vessels; and

■ Give Spain a role in deciding future arrangemen­ts for Gibraltar.

■ Cost the UK billions of pounds a year in lost trade and additional bureaucrac­y;

■ Give up the power and influence the UK enjoys as a leading member of the EU in return for vague promises about future trade;

■ Undermine the fight against crime and terrorism by weakening Europe-wide co-operation;

■ Put environmen­tal, food and safety standards at risk;

■ Subject the UK to the rulings of an unelected arbitratio­n panel; and

■ Plunge the country into years of uncertaint­y and negotiatio­n, discouragi­ng investment.

■ Leave Britain worse off economical­ly and offer no say on future EU rules and no certainty about future relations;

■ Fail to meet their demand for customs union membership and a single market deal to protect jobs and industry;

■ Offer insufficie­nt support for manufactur­ing and industry and fail to maintain workplace protection­s;

■ Leave the UK open to substantia­l additional payments if the transition is extended; and

■ Put the UK in a position of weakness in negotiatin­g a trade deal.

■ Lead to fewer jobs, lower wages and worse opportunit­ies;

■ Result in an unacceptab­le ‘blind Brexit’, where key decisions are made outside the EU; and

■ Leave the country with no way forward so the “only legitimate option” is a referendum with an option to stay in the EU.

■ Fails to provide clear guarantees about a future relationsh­ip with the EU27 that would protect the interests of Wales and the UK as a whole;

■ Fails, in the accompanyi­ng political statement which will serve as a foundation for a future long-term deal with the EU, to “protect or reflect the interests of Wales and the rest of the UK”; and

■ Will “fall far short of providing the stability and certainty needed for the long term”.

■ Undermine the Union by treating Northern Ireland differentl­y from the rest of the UK; and

■ Leave open the possibilit­y of a regulatory border down the Irish Sea.

■ Take Scotland out of the EU, the customs union and single market against the will of its voters;

■ Make it more difficult for Scotland to attract the migrant workers it needs for its public services; and

■ Give Northern Irish fishermen and exporters advantages denied to their Scottish counterpar­ts.

 ??  ?? > Anti-Brexit campaigner­s with Union and European Union flags outside the House of Commons this week
> Anti-Brexit campaigner­s with Union and European Union flags outside the House of Commons this week

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